The original cast! "Celebration of Yunian 2" starts, Zhang Ruoyun, Li Qin and Chen Daoming return


1905 movie network news On May 10, the TV drama "Celebration of the Year 2" was officially launched, and a group of character posters were released, with all the original cast members returning, full of antique and charming charm.


The handsome and dashing Lord Xiao Fan, the beautiful and gentle chicken leg girl, the domineering and majestic Emperor Qing, the unangry and self-righteous Chen Pingping, the lovely unicorn rich Fan Sizhe, and Wang Qinian who laughs at the sight of him… Familiar characters and familiar formulas, the return of the original cast has made countless fans look forward to it.


The man said that Brother Xiao Yang sold fake Moutai in the live stream, and 14 of the 24 bottles were identified as fake! Three Sheep responded: The third-party appraisal agency is not authoritative

  On June 21, the Three Sheep Network passed"Crazy Little Brother Yang – Three Sheep" posted a statement saying that some consumers bought Moutai liquor in the company’s live stream a year ago, went to Moutai’s official anti-counterfeiting office to identify it as true, and were identified as fake by the so-called third-party appraisal studio.

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  Three Sheep said that the company has always adhered to the guarantee of genuine products and promoted genuine Moutai wine to consumers in the live stream. So far, the products sold have never been officially identified as counterfeit wine.

  Three Sheep emphasizes that, as a high-value special category, the appraisal of Moutai liquor should be based on the official anti-counterfeiting rights protection phone number announced by Moutai to identify the authenticity of the official appraisal agency where it is located. The appraisal results of any third-party appraisal agency are not authoritative and legal.

  Three Sheep also said that if the Moutai wine purchased in the company’s live stream is officially identified as a counterfeit product, the company will compensate consumers in advance in accordance with relevant laws and regulations, and strictly investigate the legal responsibility of the seller.

  According to the official news of Henan TV station "City Report" on June 20, Mr. Zhang (pseudonym) from Wuhan, Hubei said that in May last year, he bought 10 bottles of Moutai at the "Jiujia Liquor Store" Douyin store under the recommendation of Crazy Brother Yang’s live stream. After being identified as true by the Moutai Anti-Counterfeiting Office, he purchased another 14 bottles for collection. This year, Mr. Zhang saw Moutai’s counterfeiting methods on the short video platform, which made him suspicious of the Moutai wine he snapped up, so he found a third-party platform for identification. As a result, 14 of the 24 bottles of Moutai were fake, and the "Jiujia Liquor Store" Douyin store also showed that it was "returned from the store".

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  When the reporter came to Anhui Hefei Three Sheep Group to inquire, the staff said that when they cooperated with the "Jiujia Liquor franchise store" that sold the batch of Moutai, they conducted a specific review of the merchant’s qualifications and product procedures. But because the goods were not sent from their warehouse, there is no guarantee that the merchant will have "adulterated" behavior. Similarly, Mr. Zhang tore off the label and opened the wine box with the consent of the merchant for identification, so there is no way to prove whether the wine has been transferred. If the merchant sells fake wine, they will also hold the merchant accountable.

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  Daily Economic News Comprehensive Henan TV Station "City Report", public news

The digital economy is becoming stronger, better and bigger, and the pace of digitalization is accelerating. "Ten major events affecting the development of China’s Internet industry in 2021" is releas

The state attaches great importance to the development of the digital economy and accelerates the pace of digital development

In March 2021, the "14th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development of the People’s Republic of China and the Outline of Vision Goals for 2035" were released, which made an all-round layout for the development of the Internet in our country. After that, the "14th Five-Year Plan" special project plans in the field of informatization were introduced one after another, and important arrangements were made to promote digital development and build a digital China. In October 2021, the General Secretary of the Supreme Leader further emphasized during the 34th collective study of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee that it is necessary to stand at the height of coordinating the overall situation of the great rejuvenation strategy of the Chinese nation and the world’s unparalleled changes in a century, coordinating the two major domestic and international situations, and the two major events of development and security, giving full play to the advantages of massive data and rich application scenarios, promoting the deep integration of digital technology and the real economy, empowering the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, giving birth to new industries and new business models, and constantly strengthening, improving and expanding our country’s digital economy.

Second, a number of laws have been issued to ensure cyberspace security in an all-round way

Since September 2021, the "Data Security Law of the People’s Republic of China", "Regulations on the Security Protection of Critical Information Infrastructure" and "Personal Information Protection Law of the People’s Republic of China" have been implemented one after another, providing the industry with a more detailed and operable legal basis and behavioral rules, and further solidifying the institutional foundation of the Internet legal system, marking our country’s cyber security protection has entered a new stage.

Third, the introduction of anti-monopoly guidelines and other policies, Internet enterprises compliance development process accelerated

In February 2021, the Anti-Monopoly Guidelines of the Anti-Monopoly Commission of the State Council on the Platform Economy were officially issued, systematically responding to the challenge of Internet platform monopoly for the first time, releasing a clear signal that Internet platforms are not a place outside the law of anti-monopoly. In October, the Antimonopoly Act of the People’s Republic of China (Draft Amendment) was announced. This is the first amendment to our country’s Antimonopoly Act since its release, which has increased penalties for monopolistic behavior and effectively prevented disorderly capital expansion. At the same time, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology continued to promote the governance of APP infringement of user rights and interests in depth, and launched a special project rectification action in the Internet industry in July 2021. The implementation of the above series of regulations and special projects has played a significant role in compacting the main responsibility of enterprises and creating a fair competition, safe and orderly Internet market environment.

IV. The Central Office and the State Office issued the "Opinions on Strengthening the Construction of Network Civilization" to create a clear cyberspace

At present, the state attaches great importance to the construction of network civilization. Since June 2021, the Central Cyberspace Administration of China has deployed a series of special projects such as "Qinglang’rice circle ‘chaos rectification". In September, the General Office of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the General Office of the State Council issued the "Opinions on Strengthening the Construction of Network Civilization" to further promote the healthy development of network culture.

The overall scale of Internet users in our country exceeds 1 billion, opening a new chapter in the development of digital infrastructure

In 2021, the development environment of "5G + Industrial Internet" will continue to improve. First, the infrastructure support capacity will continue to upgrade. There are more than 32,000 5G base stations applied to the industrial Internet; there are 15 cross-industry and cross-field industrial Internet platforms, more than 100 platforms with certain regional and industry influence, and the total number of access equipment exceeds 76 million sets (sets). Second, the level of industry application continues to improve. "5G + Industrial Internet" has more than 1,800 projects under construction across the country, covering more than 20 key industries and fields of the national economy, and creating tens of thousands of 5G application innovation cases. Third, the technical standards have been accelerated. Industrial 5G modules are the core components of the industrial end point. The general 5G module standard has been initially formed. The types of modules continue to increase and the market price continues to decline, paving the way for large-scale applications. The integrated development of "5G + Industrial Internet" will further deepen and expand the application of industrial 5G, and empower the digital, networked and intelligent transformation and upgrading of the real economy.

"5G + Industrial Internet" enters the fast lane of development, deepening the vertical and horizontal exploration of integrated applications

The development environment of "5G + Industrial Internet" continues to improve. Infrastructure support capabilities continue to upgrade, with more than 32,000 5G base stations applied to the Industrial Internet; there are 15 cross-industry and cross-field industrial Internet platforms, more than 100 platforms with certain regional and industry influence, and the total number of access equipment exceeds 76 million (sets). The level of industry application continues to improve, and "5G + Industrial Internet" has more than 1,800 projects under construction across the country, covering more than 20 key industries and fields of the national economy. Technical standards are accelerating.

Enterprises in our country actively build an open-source ecosystem of open innovation and promote the development of in-depth information technology innovation

In 2021, our country’s enterprises actively built open-source platforms, and Baidu’s comprehensive share in China’s deep learning platform market continued to grow, ranking first. Huawei officially released HarmonyOS 2 Hongmeng mobile operating system and Euler digital infrastructure operating system, realizing a unified operating system to support multiple devices, and one application development covers the whole scene.

VIII, our country formally applied to join the Digital Economy Partnership Agreement, driving the rapid development of digital trade

At present, in the context of the rapid development of the digital economy, all countries generally recognize the huge potential and importance of digital trade, and our country actively participates in the formulation of global digital economic and trade rules with an open attitude. In October 2021, the Ministry of Commerce and other 24 departments issued the "14th Five-Year" Service Trade Development Plan, which included "digital trade" in the service trade development plan for the first time, clarified the focus of our country’s digital trade development in the future, and pointed out a clear path for the construction of the digital trade demonstration zone. In November, our country officially applied to join the Digital Economy Partnership Agreement (DEPA), and is willing to work with all parties to promote international cooperation in the digital economy and jointly promote the innovation and healthy and orderly development of the digital economy.

Digital technology empowers the low-carbon transformation of the industry, helping to achieve peak carbon dioxide emissions and carbon neutrality

In March 2021, the General Secretary of the Supreme Leader presided over the ninth meeting of the Central Financial and Economic Committee and delivered an important speech, emphasizing the drive to grasp iron marks and achieve the goals of peak carbon dioxide emissions before 2030 and carbon neutrality before 2060 as scheduled. In September, MIIT, the People’s Bank of China, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, and the Securities Supervision Commission jointly issued the "Guiding Opinions on Strengthening Industrial and Financial Cooperation to Promote Industrial Green Development". In December, MIIT issued the "14th Five-Year Plan" for Industrial Green Development.

X. SENIOR-FRIENDLY SERVICES AND RURAL REVELOPMENT CONSTRUCTION TO BRIDGE THE "DIGITAL DISTRICT"

In January 2021, the Internet application senior-friendly and barrier-free transformation special project action was officially launched; in April, MIIT deployed to further grasp the implementation of the Internet application senior-friendly and barrier-free transformation special project action work, and released the "Internet website senior-friendly universal design specification" and "mobile Internet application (APP) senior-friendly universal design specification". The state continues to support the transformation of rural digital intelligence, and the "Digital Village Construction Guide 1.0" was officially released in September.

The 14th Buchuan Film Festival closed, Ren Xianqi was crowned emperor and Xu Yingji was crowned emperor

        On July 23, 2010 local time in South Korea, the closing ceremony of the 14th Bucheon International Fantasy Film Festival in South Korea was held at 7:00 pm in Bucheon, Gyeonggi Province, South Korea. More than 1,000 filmmakers and fans attended the event.

  The main awards of the Bucheon International Film Festival were presented at the closing ceremony. Hsu Young-hee won the Best Actress Award for "The End of the Kim Funan Killing Incident", Ren Xianqi won the Best Actor Award for "Fire Dragon Versus Chance", and Director Zhang Zhexiu won the Best Work Award for "The End of the Kim Funan Killing Incident".

  "Fire Dragon" is the only Hong Kong-made film that can be shortlisted for the competition at this year’s Fuchuan International Film Festival. Last year, director Lin Chaoxian won the Best Director of the Fuchuan Film Festival. This year, his work also helped Xiao Qi win the Best Actor. Both are quite excited.

  Xiao Qi said that he was winning a film award for the first time, and said excitedly: "It turns out that the award is so exciting! Thank you to the director and I for constantly researching the characters, and also to my opponent Liming for making me very involved in the role. Now I hold this award in my hand, and I am still excited. I didn’t expect that the first film award will be the male lead award, and it will be won in an overseas non-Chinese film festival. The impact is too great!"

  Director Lin Chaoxian specially went to Bucheon to attend the film festival this year to make up for the regret that he couldn’t attend last year because he was in a hurry to shoot "Fire Dragon". Although he didn’t win again this year, he thought it was very happy to see Xiao Qi win the award. Xiao Qi also said that on the night of the award, he would have a big meal with the director to celebrate. To thank the director for his credit, the two have decided to eat Korean barbecue and enjoy the richest cuisine in Korea.

  It is reported that PiFan, held in July every year in the middle of summer, can be regarded as a "summer film festival", and the participating works are also mainly horror, thriller, mystery and fantasy themes. This year’s festival will feature 193 works from 42 countries. The opening and closing films are "Death Trial" starring two Oscar winners, Adrian Brody and Forest Whitaker, and Korean horror films. It will also hold a variety of colorful side events such as "Filmmaker and Audience Dialogue", "Today I am also the protagonist of the film", PiFan congratulatory performances, and open-air free film screenings. 

Next page: Red carpet map of Bucheon Film Festival

Strict access to ensure the sustainable development of online car-hailing

  After two months, Shanghai’s local rules for online car-hailing have finally been unveiled.

  This afternoon, Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Guangzhou and Shenzhen each issued relevant regulations, setting clear licensing conditions for online car-hailing platform companies, vehicles, and drivers, and making the next step of online car-hailing operations "legal."

  The management approach of online car-hailing has received a high degree of attention and involves many interests. It is necessary to take into account both the healthy development of the industry and the actual conditions of Shanghai, a megacity. It is not easy to issue policies.

  As the current "fashionable" way of travel, the "name correction" of online car-hailing has become the general trend. With the implementation of local policies, in the future, eligible online car-hailing cars can finally be justifiably driven to the streets, and many special car drivers will also bid farewell to the "underground" state. The development of the industry has taken a solid step.

Strict access to ensure the sustainable development of online car-hailing

  But "justifying" the name of online car-hailing is by no means allowing its boundless free expansion, let alone making it a reckless "blind spot of the rule of law". While recognizing the rationality of the existence of online car-hailing itself, the introduction of relevant systems is to effectively solve the problems exposed in the current development of this industry.

  Over the past year, the massive expansion has resulted in uneven quality of vehicles and personnel, and the platform companies’ review of vehicles has become useless. These have become "stubborn diseases", resulting in frequent cases of infringement of consumer rights and interests.

  In April this year, a "female college student called a suspicious car" was forwarded and spread on major new media platforms. The special car called by the party through the taxi software did not match the car number displayed on the software at all; in March this year, the Municipal Traffic Law Enforcement Corps seized the owner of a special car using 3 sets of vehicle number plates at the same time during the law enforcement process… and the traffic accidents, public security incidents, and criminal cases caused by online car-hailing are also increasing, and all parties are calling for "the special car should be managed".

Strict access to ensure the sustainable development of online car-hailing

  In the Shanghai plan, the guiding ideology of legal management, green environmental protection, safe operation, fair competition, and protection of consumer rights and interests is basically fully implemented, and "targeted" is reflected everywhere. For example, on the entry threshold, Shanghai stipulates that the vehicles and drivers of online car-hailing in Shanghai must be "Shanghai nationality", which is mainly because, first, the city’s policy is a requirement of the national policy. After all, the city is the main body of online car-hailing management; second, the double "Shanghai nationality" precisely follows the law of the sharing economy, which can be used to confirm personal idle assets from the information end for social sharing. For example, on the vehicle access threshold, the "National Five" emission standard is fully implemented. For example, in terms of company management, Shanghai clearly requires online ride-hailing companies to take measures such as suspending business and canceling platform registration for major traffic safety accidents caused by drivers, infringing on the interests of passengers, and disrupting operational order…

  The ride-hailing industry has gone through the brutal growth in the early stage and is bathed in the current burgeoning capital expansion. Facts have proved that platform companies and practitioners have fully enjoyed the high benefits brought by the new business model, but have not fully assumed the corresponding social responsibilities. An industry that grows under unfair competition and breeds security risks should never become a pride under the "Internet +" wave, let alone a standardized template for the "sharing economy".

  Regulating the operation of online car-hailing is to let companies and practitioners take up their due responsibilities. The new regulations firmly grasp the key point of "employment threshold", control the safety valve from the qualification of personnel and vehicles, and strictly require the possession of certificates. The original intention is to consider the safety of the general public’s travel. To make online car-hailing, like taxis, have no blind spots for access and no blind spots for service standards.

Strict access to ensure the sustainable development of online car-hailing

  The government is duty-bound to the safety bottom line. Instead of covering the bottom line after the problem occurs, it is better to make effective regulation in the specification, use the invisible hand to create an orderly industry ecology, and use a certain degree of "income" to bring safer and more convenient "release". Only when all interests are checked and balanced and know how to self-restrain, will the industry usher in a broader space.

  The new rules are not short of strong restrictions, which is "income", but they are also humane in some details, such as requiring platform companies to sign employment contracts or agreements with drivers, and not refusing to allow a ride-hailing car to register multiple platforms at the same time to operate. These "liberalizing" measures are in the best interests of ride-hailing practitioners and strive to create more well-being for them.

  Many citizens are concerned about whether the strict management of online car-hailing will cause new "taxi-hailing difficulties"? Indeed, regulating online car-hailing will inevitably lead to a reduction in the supply side in a short period of time, but this is a "short-term pain". The disorderly development of the industry, the recurrence of safety accidents, and the ultimate destruction of credibility will be a "long pain".

  It is not realistic to blindly solve the problem of "travel difficulties" by a large number of social vehicles "entering the market". "Tightening" online car-hailing at the same time forces the taxi industry to self-subvert and completely transform, and encourages "ride-hailing" compliance to legally go on the road, providing more diverse choices for traveling citizens. This is the greater sense of "release".

  Shanghai’s local bylaws are not meant to stifle the vitality of an industry’s booming development, but to put the brakes on the disorder in the "leap forward". The city is willing to tolerate all innovation attempts, but more expect a fair market order. Comrade Wen Jiabao once said that social fairness and justice are more glorious than the sun. For the online car-hailing industry full of Internet genes, we also expect it to go further and better on the new track.

Seeking change can only lead to progress (New economic orientation · Key notes for small and medium-sized enterprises ④)

Drawing: Wang Zheping, Data source: Ministry of Commerce, etc

  Although summer has entered, Wang Wenjun still has lingering fears when he recalls the Spring Festival that has just passed.

  The sudden arrival of the epidemic caught him off guard, who was already preparing for the hot business of the Spring Festival. On January 25, Chengdu issued a notice banning the holding of group catering business activities, including rural self-organized banquets and dam banquets.

  Wang Wenjun is the founder of a well-known hot pot restaurant in Chengdu. In Sichuan, where there are more than 30,000 hot pot restaurants. Affected by the COVID-19 epidemic, the peak season of the catering industry has dimmed without warning. A series of difficulties have weighed on Wang Wenjun’s head due to market closures, inventory backlogs, labor and rental costs.

  Every day when I open my eyes, more than 100,000 yuan is gone

  Selling vegetables to reduce wages, stop losses and reduce costs, and save yourself to protect your vitality

  "We walked all the way from a small hot pot restaurant with only 17 tables, and we have never encountered such a situation. The store is closed, and the income is gone; the salary needs to be paid, and the rent needs to be paid… As soon as we open our eyes every day, more than 100,000 yuan is gone. Coupled with the excess inventory of ingredients prepared in advance, the electricity bill of the freezer alone can’t stand it." Under multiple pressures, Wang Wenjun "almost lost half of his head".

  Survival is the first priority. Wang Wenjun and other company managers together, as soon as possible to save themselves from the siege, is the top priority.

  On the one hand, they would sell the excess food stock to nearby residents at a fair price or even at a discount. On the other hand, they would inform employees in the city to take turns to work, and non-local employees would work from home. The management would take the lead in adjusting salaries, and only keep the basic salary and social security, further reducing labor costs.

  "The rent is a big part of the cost of the hot pot store. We have to thank the competent authorities for helping us coordinate the property. We reduced the rent by 1.20 million yuan before and after, and also won tax incentives." Wang Wenjun sighed.

  To reduce inventory, reduce costs, and reduce rents, although the hot pot restaurant suffered heavy losses during the closing period of more than a month, "fortunately, it saved itself in time and didn’t hurt its vitality". What he didn’t expect was that the originally inconspicuous takeaway service and the live broadcast that he had never set foot in had become the "savior" of his next reorganization.

  Dine-in and takeout, who is the protagonist?

  Meet demand, expand takeout, and promote franchise stores

  "You have a new takeaway order! Please pay attention to check it!" As soon as he walked into the lobby of the Chengdu Huabaifang store, he heard the pleasant bell of the online platform. The store manager said that the takeaway received more than 1,500 orders a day at most, and the turnover exceeded 500,000 yuan.

  In 2016, the company launched a takeaway service. "But hot pot still has a taste for dine-in, and takeout has always been a’supporting role ‘." Wang Wenjun said that after the resumption of work and production, the demand for takeout has increased greatly. There were only two stores to deliver takeout, but soon it increased to nine. "We make takeaway posters every day, and mobilize employees to forward them together with the official Weibo and WeChat, so that relatives, friends and more residents know that we can deliver takeout. In a week, the number of takeaway orders has skyrocketed from more than 300 orders per day to more than 1,000 orders."

  In order to attract a franchise partner, the company urgently formulated a support strategy, actively arranged takeaway operation equipment, sorted out operation manuals and videos, and launched "fully sealed hot pot takeaway service" in Shanghai, Guangzhou, Xi’an and other places. In addition to the takeaway platform, the company’s WeChat official account also opened the online ordering entrance.

  The delivery staff delivered goods without contact, carrying health certificates and peace of mind cards with them. When there were many orders, Wang Wenjun himself also rode an electric car and became a "delivery brother".

  The takeaway area is limited, what should I do if I can’t deliver it?

  Live streaming, cross-border cooperation, new retail

  "I want to eat hot pot, but I live too far away to deliver food, and I can’t make it myself. What should I do?" A few days after the delivery service was resumed, this message in the background of Weibo attracted Wang Wenjun’s attention and thought.

  "Although it can’t be delivered, we can teach them how to make hot pot through online live broadcast." His idea was immediately in line with a live broadcast platform, and the live broadcast room was quickly set up.

  "Our main feature is’spicy ‘, so the hot pot base will use three kinds of chili peppers: sea pepper, millet spicy, and devil spicy. Soak it in warm water before serving in the pot and then smash it. Combining the flavors will produce a unique fragrance." During the live broadcast, the chef carefully reminded that when frying the hot pot base, the onion, ginger, and garlic should be fried in the pot until golden in turn and then quickly removed, so as to avoid the mushy taste, spicy but not dry. The "take home "-like explanation, the feedback is gratifying.

  "Although the preparation was rushed and we went LIVE at the meal point, there were still more than 87,000 netizens guarding the live stream in the first live stream, indicating that our live stream was too’dinner ‘." Wang Wenjun said that while the chef was live "teaching", he also launched his own various base material bags, which were sold with "significant hot pot other" such as chicken in bowls and self-heating rice. Consumers can place orders online.

  "I’m really about to cry, I’m going to buy the materials" "The base material is not easy to fry, but it is convenient and affordable to place an order online"… The enthusiastic interaction of the audience brought great confidence to Wang Wenjun. Strike while the iron is hot, he immediately planned and launched activities such as "Contactless Takeaway Delivery with confidence" with local media in Chengdu, and completed more than ten live broadcast activities of eating hot pot at home. "I didn’t expect the effect of cross-border cooperation to be so good, and the live broadcast can’t stop once it starts. Barber shops, gyms, milk, beer and other brands and stores have come to us to cooperate and provide our diners with products and vouchers through takeaway."

  "Boss! Another hairy belly!" As night fell, Wang Wenjun’s hot pot restaurant rang out the familiar call for food. On March 26, Chengdu fully resumed the normal business activities of catering and other service industries.

  After many months, looking at the diners queuing outside the door, although Wang Wenjun was no longer anxious and confused, his nervous tension still did not relax. "Whether it is takeout or live broadcast, it is all’wartime blood transfusion ‘. The epidemic has survived really hard, and it is also a rare stress testing. It forces us to re-examine and think about how to make efforts in the new retail and intelligent fields in the next step, and improve the ability of’postwar blood making’."

  Reporter’s notes

  Improve your ability and stay calm

  Affected by the COVID-19 epidemic, our country’s catering consumption has been hit hard before and after the Spring Festival. Some catering companies have responded to market changes to face difficulties. The current difficulties have passed, and the long-term development path still needs to be considered. Traditional eating habits such as shared meals and joint meals are changing, and consumers’ consideration of safety and health is increasing, which may have a more far-reaching impact.

  In this context, many catering companies have turned their attention to the new retail sector, grabbing share through online sales and processing special dishes into standardized goods. Some companies have tasted the sweetness for the first time, but for most small and medium-sized catering enterprises, this is still a new topic. Not only test the financial strength, talent accumulation level, but also test the ability to integrate market resources.

  On the one hand, keep up with the changes in consumer psychology, advocate the meal sharing system, cultivate eating habits such as "public chopsticks and spoons", and promote the healthy development of catering culture; on the other hand, innovate the way of catering consumption, do refined management, find a development path in line with their own brand positioning, and transform and upgrade in a timely manner. Only by truly improving the "immunity" of the enterprise can we not be surprised and turn threats into opportunities.

Recruiting agents, Hengchi 5 offline, can Hengda Automobile make a comeback?

Text | Online Travel, Author | Zhou Xiongfei

I’ve been very busy lately. 

Recently, Hengchi, a brand owned by Evergrande Automobile, posted a message on its official Weibo and "authorized agent recruitment".In its recruitment details page, it not only shows the operation model of the future vehicle sales channel, but also stipulates the conditions for joining, such as agreeing with the development model of Hengchi and the registered capital shall not be less than 5 million yuan.

In addition, Hengchi also calibrated the store construction standards for franchise, such as exhibition hall area and headroom details, and listed the franchise process, which shows that Hengchi has made a very detailed description of the agent’s franchise. 

At the same time as the authorized agent joining, there are also offline experience activities for Hengchi 5 models. 

According to the official introduction of Hengchi, during the "May Day" period, its offline experience stores in Guangzhou and Tianjin held experience activities for Hengchi 5 models. In fact, since the end of March this year, there have been some news in the industry about the landing of Hengchi 5 offline experience stores. 

As early as mid-January this year, Hengchi officially announced that the first car of Hengchi 5 was officially rolled off the production line from the factory, 12 days earlier than the original schedule.It is worth noting that the Hengchi 5 appeared in the MIIT new car declaration catalogue in November last year. 

From the launch of the first car of Hengchi 5, to the holding of offline experience activities, and now to the opening of the agent franchise, this series of actions seems to announce that Hengchi 5 has entered the countdown stage of mass production.But the industry is full of doubts about whether Hengchi can achieve this goal. 

Hengda has embarked on the road of new energy vehicle manufacturing since it acquired car companies in 2019, and launched nine models at the Shanghai Auto Show in 2021, which once detonated the entire auto show.But then not only did none of these models actually go into mass production, but Evergrande itself was also embroiled in a storm of shutdowns and debt. 

By January this year, the models that could achieve mass production had changed from the original 9 models to the Hengchi 5 model, but to achieve mass production, it was necessary to have sufficient cash flow to ensure stable production capacity.According to the performance data released by Evergrande Automobile at the end of August last year, it has accumulated a loss of 18.83 billion yuan as of the first half of 2021, and the loss is in the trend of expanding year after year. 

It is precisely because there is no money that Evergrande will choose a different franchise system from the "Wei Xiaoli" direct sales model in the establishment of sales channels.However, in the industry’s opinion, although Hengda’s channel joining threshold is low, there should not be many agents willing to join due to the well-known predicament that Hengda is currently in. 

Today, although Evergrande seems to be on the right track step by step, it is still mired in a fog of uncertainty. 

Evergrande Auto is one step closer to selling cars on the market. 

On the last day of the "May Day" holiday, an investment page about "authorized agent recruitment" appeared on Hengchi’s official Weibo.In this investment promotion introduction, Hengchi provides a detailed list of sales models, store construction standards, investment promotion policies, qualification requirements, and franchise processes. 

In terms of sales model, Hengchi said it would adopt a model of order-based sales and asset-light operations.Order-based selling, in short, is to arrange factories to produce according to the order volume, and then deliver the produced products to consumers. This approach can reduce the pressure on inventory compared with the mainstream warehouse sales in the industry, which are made first and then sold to the market. In order to achieve the purpose of asset-light operation. 

Asset-light operations are also reflected in the establishment of a sales center.According to the requirements given by Hengchi, its sales center needs to be established in the automotive business district, with an exhibition hall area of 200-300 square meters, an exhibition area of more than 150 square meters, and a clearance height of 3.5 meters.

Looking at this store construction standard alone, it seems to be very demanding, but in the industry it is the opposite. 

"The’car business district ‘required by Hengchi to build a store is not the shopping mall business district laid out by new forces such as NIO and Xiaopeng, but an area such as the car city in the suburbs of the city. In the car city, the general 4S store will start with 2,000 square meters, compared to Hengchi’s 200-300 square meter sales center, which is too small."Liu Bin, domestic regional sales manager of the Mercedes-Benz brand, explained to Connected Travel. 

Perhaps this is why Hengchi will position the sales center as "small and refined". According to Hengchi’s plan, such a sales center will support services such as sales and test drives. This also means that the completed Hengchi sales center will be more functionally biased towards the stores currently established by "Wei Xiaoli". 

Similar to the store construction standards, the agent qualification requirements listed by Hengchi also have higher restrictions in the eyes of the outside world, but in fact the threshold is also very low.According to Liu Bin, although Hengchi requires the registered capital to reach 5 million yuan, it does not require the actual payment of 5 million yuan, which is a lower threshold for joining.

According to the latest "Company Law" and related regulations, at present, only the total registered capital of a company needs to be registered, and it is not mandatory to submit a capital verification report, which means that there is no need to pay all the total registered capital at the beginning. 

In comparison, other automakers have higher requirements for authorized franchisees. 

Taking XPeng Motors as an example, as one of the new forces in domestic car manufacturing, although the layout of sales channels is mainly direct sales like NIO and Ideal, it has also opened up some franchise channels on this basis. 

According to its official website,To become an agent of Xiaopeng, it must have no less than 3 4S stores, mid-to-high-end brands are preferred, and the annual revenue of the automotive business sector needs to reach more than 100 million yuan, and the asset-liability ratio is less than 70% "red line". 

In Liu Bin’s opinion, if according to the standard of Hengchi, the investment of a sales center will be very small, based on the agent’s ready-made 4S store, plus hundreds of thousands of renovations, the overall cost will be about 100-2 million yuan. 

For the average luxury brand 4S store, the cost of decoration and equipment alone will reach tens of millions of yuan, which is completely different from Hengchi’s playing style. 

In terms of the joining process, Hengchi has also made some simplification. 

In comparison with Hengchi and Xiaopeng’s joining process, although both parties have as many as five steps in the process, including submitting an application, qualification evaluation, signing a store construction agreement, store construction, and store acceptance.But in terms of details, Xiaopeng needs to ask the agent to pay a security deposit in the process of signing the store construction agreement, but Hengchi does not have this requirement. 

According to Liu Bin, generally speaking, the brand will charge a deposit for the agent when joining, such as Xiaopeng’s deposit of about 800,000 yuan, which is a means for the brand to restrain the agent.For Hengchi, it may be to shorten the agent joining process and time, to save this link first, but this does not mean that Hengchi will not charge a security deposit later. 

In addition, in terms of joining application, Hengchi and Xiaopeng also have differences. By looking at the application forms of both parties, we found that Xiaopeng’s application form is a document file. In addition to the basic information such as the applicant’s name and company name, it also needs to fill in the company’s equity structure and its own advantages. As a whole, it is more formal and detailed. 

In contrast, Hengchi’s application form is not a formal document, but a simple Mini Program.In terms of content, you only need to fill in the applicant’s name, company name, current operating brand, and other basic information, which is much simpler than the Xiaopeng application.

From the lower standards for building a store, to the omission of the franchise process, to the simplification of the franchise application,In the industry, Hengda Automobile is likely to further reduce the threshold for agents to authorize franchise and shorten the franchise process, in order to attract more agents to join and accelerate the layout of sales channels. 

And all this preparation is also for the purpose of better selling the car in the future. 

The production time of Hengchi 5 is getting closer and closer. 

According to a recent announcement by Evergrande Automobile,The Hengchi 5 will go into mass production on June 22 this year.Hengda Motor President Liu Yongzhuo also said in March this year that the work of Hengchi 5 is progressing smoothly and is making final preparations for the launch of Hengchi 5 for mass production.

The reason why Hengda Automobile officials are confident to announce such news is also because Hengchi 5 has had a series of positive developments. 

In mid-October last year, Hengda held a strategic partner conference at its Tianjin production base. At the meeting, Liu Yongzhuo said that Hengda Automobile started a three-month car-building battle to ensure that the first production car "Hengchi 5" was rolled off the production line early next year. 

In order to ensure the smooth rollout of Hengchi 5, Hengda Automobile had mobilized core R & D teams from Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen to support Hengda Automobile’s Tianjin production base. The Tianjin factory, which had previously defaulted on payments from suppliers, also resumed production at that time and accelerated the progress. 

Facts have proved that Hengchi 5 went offline as scheduled this year.On January 12 this year, Hengchi issued a notice on its official Weibo, announcing that the first production model of the Hengchi brand, Hengchi 5, had been rolled off the production line at the Tianjin factory, 12 days earlier than originally planned. 

A month later, in the 353rd batch of car declaration information released by MIIT, the name of Hengchi 5 appeared in the public information. It should be noted that this is the second time this model has appeared in the public list. 

As early as last November, Hengchi 5 had appeared in the MIIT 350 batch of vehicle product announcements. According to the information given at the time, the model was manufactured by Hengda New Energy Automobile (Tianjin) Co., Ltd.

According to Hengda Automobile’s model planning, Hengchi 5 length, width and height are 4725mm, 1925mm and 1688mm respectively, and the wheelbase is 2780mm. From the size point of view, Hengchi 5 belongs to the compact SUV model like Xiaopeng G3 and Weimar EX5; the price will be below 200,000 yuan, and the standard Audi Q3, BMW X1 and other models. 

From the appearance perspective, the Hengchi 5 features a streamlined body and a hidden door handle, which is in line with the mainstream design style in the industry as a whole. 

The body of Hengchi 5 is equipped with a drive motor from United Electronics, with a peak power of 150kW and a rated power of 60kW; the electronic appliances have chosen a full-domain control architecture jointly developed with Bosch; and the power battery is equipped with a lithium iron phosphate battery from Ningde era. 

In terms of power performance, Hengchi 5 accelerates from zero to 100 kilometers for 7-8 seconds, with a maximum speed of 180km/h, and a CLTC cruising range of 602 kilometers. According to First Electric Network, Hengchi 5 will also be equipped with the H-SMART OS Hengchi intelligent network system jointly built with Tencent. Based on this system, the model can achieve L2 + level automatic driving assistance. 

In the industry’s opinion, Hengchi 5’s entry into the MIIT public list means that Hengchi 5 has passed the review of relevant departments and is eligible for listing and sales.After all, the publication of vehicle products into MIIT is a necessary review process before the product is launched. 

During this year’s "May Day" period, just as Hengchi started recruiting agents, it also held static experience sessions of Hengchi 5 in Guangzhou and Tianjin Experience Centers. This was also the first time that Hengchi 5 production cars were offline to the public.

Although the experience activity of Hengchi 5 was officially opened during the "May Day" period,However, according to Wired Travel, the Hengchi Experience Center in Guangzhou was launched in March this year, and its location is also located in the business district of Guangzhou. The Hengchi 5 exhibition car was also installed in the store at that time. 

From the visits and reports of many media, it can be seen that the Hengchi 5 exhibition car on display in Guangzhou and Tianjin Hengchi Experience Center and the model data announced by MIIT have not changed much, and belong to the final form before mass production and listing. 

Now, whether it is Hengchi’s 5 first cars offline and offline experience, or the opening of the agent franchise model,In the eyes of the outside world, it is a phenomenon that Hengda Automobile and Hengchi are on the right track of car manufacturing.Therefore, many people began to reflect on the future of Hengda Automobile. 

It is undeniable that Hengda Automobile is currently riddled with holes. 

On March 21 this year, Hengda Motor issued a suspension notice, saying that at the request of the company, its shares were temporarily suspended from trading at 9 am that day. 

Regarding the reason for the suspension, Evergrande Automobile said in the "inside information" announcement issued later,Due to the significant changes in the operation of the company’s real estate sector since the second half of last year, a large number of additional audit procedures have been added for this year, coupled with the related impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to the company’s current information, the company cannot complete the audit procedures on schedule.

Evergrande also said that due to the unfinished audit work, it was unable to submit the audited performance data as of December 31, 2021 by March 31 this year in accordance with the listing rules.This also means that due to Hengda’s failure to submit last year’s performance data on time, it was forced to implement a suspension. 

According to Tiger Securities data, Connected Travel has indeed seen Hengda Automobile Hong Kong stock has been suspended, and its share price and market value have also stayed at HK $3.2/share and HK $34.70 billion. 

By looking at the stock price and market value performance of Hengda Automobile since its listing in 2008, we found that it reached its highest value in February 2021, when its share price reached HK $69/share and its market value reached HK $60.83 billion. 

In contrast, the current share price of Hengda Automobile has fallen by 95.3%, and the market value has even evaporated 26.13 billion Hong Kong dollars. 

Although Hengda Automobile has not handed over the annual performance data, but at the end of August last year, it announced the performance data of last year’s mid-term. According to the data, Hengda Automobile’s revenue in the first half of the year was 6.92 billion yuan, an increase of 53.5% year-on-year. 

In terms of net loss, Hengda Automobile recorded 4.79 billion yuan, down 110.51% year-on-year. Such losses began in 2018, and the net losses in 2018-2020 were 1.428 billion yuan, 4.947 billion yuan and 7.665 billion yuan respectively.It can be seen that its losses are expanding year by year, and as of the first half of 2021, Hengda Automobile has accumulated losses of 18.83 billion yuan. 

According to Wind data, Hengda Automobile’s cash and cash equivalents in 2018-2020 were 1.60 billion yuan, 9.90 billion yuan and 10.50 billion yuan respectively. Although its cash reserves were still growing slightly as of December 31, 2020, its total liabilities also increased significantly in these years. From 2018 to 2020, its total liabilities were 22.80 billion yuan, 94.70 billion yuan and 155.90 billion yuan respectively.

Based on the above performance data, Hengda Automobile is currently mired in debt and insufficient funds.Due to this, Hengda Automobile announced in August last year that it would sell some of its projects and assets in order to repay its debt. 

At present, there is no news of selling assets for money, and Hengda Automobile, which is short of money, wants to establish sales channels to sell cars. In Liu Bin’s opinion, Hengda Automobile can only choose to invest less in the franchise model to establish a sales network in order to achieve this goal. 

But Liu Bin also believes that although Hengda Auto offers a relatively low threshold for agents to join, it is easy for general agents to join, but it is very likely that not many agents will choose to join the Hengda Auto brand. After all, to sell cars to make money, the premise is that the cars sold must be competitive. 

However, for Hengchi 5, it is difficult to have this strength. 

First of all, from the appearance point of view, the design of Hengchi 5 belongs to the standard, and there are not many bright spots; in terms of interior decoration, from the current public information, although it has a triple-screen design, it is different from the two-screen design of NIO and Tesla, but this design has long appeared on models such as Ideal ONE and Zero Run C11, which is not uncommon. 

In terms of cruising range, Hengchi 5 can achieve 602 kilometers, although it has exceeded the industry’s passing line, but if this level of cruising is compared to the track of new energy compact SUVs, it does not have much advantage.Because the Nezha U and GAC AION Y, both compact SUVs, also have a maximum cruising range of more than 600 kilometers, and the cruising range of Xiaopeng G3, Zero Run C11 and other models has also reached about 550 kilometers, which is not much different from Hengchi 5. 

As the intelligent aspect that is currently valued by consumers, according to public information, Hengchi 5 only has L2-level automatic assisted driving capabilities. In contrast, the higher-level urban road automatic assisted driving capabilities of car companies such as Xiaopeng and Great Wall have also been unveiled to the outside world. 

In addition to the lack of advantages of the model itself, Hengchi’s brand power and financial capacity have also become important factors restricting the launch of Hengchi 5. 

"Based on the current situation of Hengda Automobile’s insufficient capital reserves and declining performance, it is still unknown whether it can support the mass production of Hengchi 5 in the future. Even if mass production can be achieved in the end, Hengchi’s brand power will be exhausted with the occurrence of previous layoffs, asset sales and other events, not to mention that there are still many consumers who do not know this brand."Zhang Xiang, a distinguished expert from China Bolian Think Tank, told Connected Travel.

From this perspective, although Hengda Automobile has currently launched an agent franchise model, Hengchi 5 is also experiencing offline appearances, but under the influence of factors such as the lack of bright spots, insufficient capital reserves, and weak brand power, Hengda Automobile wants to use Hengchi 5 to launch a mass production turnaround. 

Even so, for Hengda Automobile, in the context of the current new energy vehicle industry trend, car manufacturing is already an extremely important "life-saving straw", which must be grasped. 

(Liu Bin is a pseudonym in the article.)

Or cause fire and explosion! These products, remove them from the shelves immediately! Sales are strictly prohibited →

Mobile power, also known as "power bank". The latest quality supervision and sampling results of online mobile power products released by the State Administration for Market Regulation show that more than one-third of the products tested failed.

Online mobile power supply quality national supervision and spot check, more than 35% failed

CCTV Finance "Economic Information Network" column video

The results of the random inspection showed that among the 99 batches of products produced by 95 enterprises in 9 provinces (cities), 35 batches failed, and the failure rate was 35.4%.

The reporter noticed that some of these unqualified mobile power supplies have prominent problems with false capacity and cannot achieve the claimed charging effect; some have safety risks such as heat generation and deflagration, threatening consumers’ personal and property safety. According to relevant industry data, our country is not only the world’s largest producer of mobile power supplies, but also the largest consumer market. Since 2020, shipments have remained at about 100 million units. With the continuous popularity of mobile power supplies, safety accidents caused by mobile power sources have occurred all over the country.

At the end of May this year, on Line 7 of the Beijing Subway, the mobile power supply in a passenger’s satchel suddenly exploded, and a large amount of smoke instantly filled the entire carriage. Fortunately, due to the timely handling of the staff, the accident did not cause casualties.

Also in May this year, in a parking lot in Zhangjiagang, Jiangsu Province, the mobile power supply left in the car also exploded. The center console inside the car was badly damaged, and there were traces of bursting in the front windshield.

In early January this year, a self-built house in Guiping, Guangxi Province, burst into flames in the early morning, and a family of four died tragically. According to a warning article issued by the fire department, "After preliminary investigation, the cause of the fire was a short circuit of the mobile power supply, which caused the fire. The on-site inspection found that the mobile power supply was suspected to be counterfeit and shoddy products."

Industry experts say that poor quality or improper use of mobile power supplies can lead to safety accidents, threatening consumers’ personal and property safety.

5 batches of mobile power supply failed the overcharge test, which could cause fire and explosion

CCTV Finance "Economic Information Network" column video

It generally takes a few hours or even longer for the mobile power supply to be fully charged. If you forget to unplug the power supply, you may also charge it all day and night. This situation is called charging. During this national supervision and spot inspection, it was found that 5 batches of mobile power supplies failed the charging test.

According to the testing engineer, during daily use, mobile power supplies may forget to unplug and charge for a long time, which requires that the internal battery quality of the mobile power supply must be reliable enough. Even if the circuit is damaged during overcharging, there should be no risk of fire or explosion.

Some mobile power internal battery in the test process suddenly deflagration, a lot of smoke. After the test of these unqualified mobile power batteries were burned.

After testing, 5 batches of mobile power overcharging items failed this time. They are:

Shenzhen Jinyu Dongfang Industrial Co., Ltd. produces the Yuanqi Mengmeng mobile power supply of Tmall Lofte flagship store

Dongguan Yubo Communication Equipment Co., Ltd. produces Yubo mobile power supply for Vipshop Yubo Digital Sale Flagship Store

Shenzhen Yanbu Technology Co., Ltd. produces super flash charging (mobile power supply) for Tmall eara flagship store.

Shenzhen Yimo Technology Co., Ltd. produces the LeTV super mobile power supply of Pinduoduo LeTV Yandian store

Yuantu Culture (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. produces the Starry Sky Hand Warmer of Tmall Tianxiang Chuangwu Flagship Store

According to the testing engineer, poor battery quality is often one of the main reasons for the failure of the overcharge index.

The reporter learned that if the shell quality is not up to standard, in the event of a bump or fall, the internal circuit and battery of the mobile power supply cannot be effectively protected, resulting in short circuits, battery leakage and other problems, which may also lead to safety accidents such as fire and deflagration.

For unqualified products found in supervision and spot checks, the General Administration of Market Supervision requires local market supervision bureaus to urge e-commerce platforms to immediately remove them from the shelves, and at the same time take measures such as seizure and seizure in accordance with the law to strictly prohibit the production and sales of enterprises. For unqualified enterprises, further clarify the rectification requirements, strictly supervise the implementation of rectification measures, and organize timely review.

Source: Market Supervision Half Moon Salon

NIO: Reflection is more important than selling cars

NIO released the 2023 Quarter 1 financial report Long Bridge US stocks premarket on June 9, Beijing time. Another large area of "spicy eye" performance, if the fourth quarter of last year is poor, the first quarter of this year is still a "strengthened version":

1. Poor sales and poor income:$NIO – SW.HK revenue 10.70 billion, and less than the market expectations, the 1 billion +, the sales difference is known, the key is because of the volume price, the old car, 75kwh entry models accounted for more, resulting in a unit price of only 297,000, significantly lower than market expectations.

2. Gross margin collapse: As the unit price fell below 300,000 for the first time, much lower than the previous guidance implied unit price of about 320,000,The gross profit margin of the car fell directly to 5% without impairment and other operations, far lower than the market expectation of about 10%. Obviously, the damage caused by the price reduction of the old model and the low gross profit margin of ET5, the capacity utilization rate in the process of platform replacement has particularly serious damage to NIO.

3. Guidance mediocre: second quarterGuidance sales 2.3 – 25,000 units, due to the known sales in April and May, implied sales in June after the release of the new ES6, finally began to stand on the 10,000, guidance implied sales in June should be about 11,000. And the company’s goal is that ET5 + ES6 double top stream can bring 20,000 monthly sales, this guidance is still significantly different from this goal.

However,$NIO. SG The price of implied bicycles behind the revenue guidance 87-9.40 billion may recover to about 320,000, the proportion of implied inventory vehicles may decrease, and the gross margin should recover.

4. NIO who is still "voting":Although the gross profit has dropped to less than 20,000 yuan, NIO wants to do a lot of things in R & D and needs to "warm up users". The investment in R & D and sales expenses has not seen obvious restraint. The operating loss rate hit a three-year high, reaching 48%, significantly higher than market expectations.

Dolphin Jun’s overall perspective:

For new forces with a very short period of new car explosions and repeatedly falling into the green and yellow of changing cars, Dolphin Jun naturally has a red label of "suspicious execution". Obviously, the current NIO is such a company.

Therefore, the previous share price of 9 yuan has fallen to the PS valuation level between life and death in 2019. Dolphin Jun proposed that companies with too big dreams and too weak execution cannot talk about bottom fishing lightly. By this financial report, the company’s share price was hovering at 7-8 yuan, and bottom fishing did not generate profits.

Of course, from the perspective of marginal changes, this performance is basically the bottom of NIO’s performance: because NIO’s double-top streaming car ES6 went on sale at the end of May and the ET5 hunting version went on sale in June, two promising cars began to contribute to full sales in the second half of the year, and all other models will basically transition to the NT2.0 platform. Sales and gross profit margins are unlikely to be worse, and will only go in the direction of improvement.

In the corresponding stock price, along with the improvement of sales volume and gross profit margin, there is also hope to slowly climb out of the bottom. But how much can be pulled up from the bottom, or can it return to the previous height? It depends on how much the original new power brother reflects on this wave of mistakes, and how much the execution improves. Dolphin Jun has doubts. At least to see the change of attitude first, you might as well listen to what NIO has to say in the phone call.

First, stronger than painting cakes, weaker than landing: NIO, it’s time to reflect

Let me remind you of the two core goals of NIO’s delivery this year:

1)NIO aims to deliver 250,000 vehicles this year.

2) By the fourth quarter, the monthly sales should stand firm 30,000 vehicles: the two pillar cars ET5 + ES6 have a total monthly sales of 20,000, ET7 + ES7 + ES8 have a total contribution of 8k-10k vehicles, and the two coupe EC6 and EC7 have a total monthly sales of about 2k vehicles.

Goals vs reality, let’s compare:

1) By the end of the first half of this year, the delivery was probably on 55,000 vehicles, barely completing a little more than 20% of the annual target. In the case of just climbing 10,000 in June, it is equivalent to 32,500 monthly delivery in the second half of the year, which means that the hope of achieving the 250,000 goal for the whole year is very slim.

2) Monthly sales 30,000 target vs May 6k reality: In May, due to NIO’s two top-class models – ES6 replacement and ET5 hunting car to be released, the new ES8 was launched in June and EC6 was launched in July; the new EC7 was relatively niche, and it was just launched and basically did not contribute to sales;, in addition, the market demand for ET7 and ES7 models that are not being replaced is weak, and the final result is that NIO sold a mere 6,155 units in May, even lower than in April.

On the list of new car makers in May, the original first brother has almost slipped to the bottom.

Fortunately, looking ahead, it should be the worst time for NIO nowFrom the perspective of the release rhythm of the model, NIO’s two promising contributions to large sales ET5 and ES6:

ES6: As the best-selling SUV in the NIO model matrix, on May 24 this year, NIO released an updated version of ES 6 (competitors mainly include Model Y, L7, etc.), and deliveries began that night.

According to market survey information, within 72 hours of ES6 release, the average intention of a single store was 90 orders, 20 prepaid orders, and ES6 contributed 60-70% of the incoming traffic. Preliminary data seems to be good.

2.) ET5 prey version: released on June 15 and delivered in the same month ET5 prey version, prey version will optimize the current ET5 rear space, it is estimated that part of the original wait-and-see ET5 lead.

After the two NIO top-class models are all launched in June, the monthly sales of tens of thousands is a reasonable expectation for the market. So from this quarter, the second quarter sales guidance given by NIO 2.3-2 5,000 vehicles are only within expectations.

Due to the sales volume of 6.7k in April and 6.2k in May, this guide implies that the sales volume in June is 11,000, which is basically the same as the market expectation of 10,000 vehicles in June. There is no further shock, but it is obviously not a surprise.

Overall, NIO has not really exploded in this cycle of car replacement, from new cars such as ET5 to the present. Compared with the ideal replacement cycle, the replacement time of NT2.0 models has been delayed for too long, and the problem is still obvious.

When the automotive market had long since entered the era where demand was king, NIO wanted too much, and its execution was still stuck in the era of "supply is king", completely unable to keep up with its peers who were crazy about rolling in.

Finally, from the perspective of the actual delivery volume in the first quarter, only 31,000 vehicles were achieved, barely reaching the lower limit of the original target 3.1-3 3,000 vehicles.

Fatal Expectation Spread: Gross Margin Revisited

Behind the poor sales volume, the gross profit margin was pulled again, and the severity exceeded the one-time impairment 1 billion due to "inventory impairment provisions, accelerated depreciation of production equipment, and loss of old 866 purchase agreement" in the first quarter.

In the first quarter of this year, NIO’s gross profit margin of automobile sales was only 5.1%, while the gross profit margin of automobiles 1 billion one-time factors was 13.5% in the last quarter, while the market’s expectations for the gross profit margin of automobiles in the first quarter were basically in double digits, basically between 10% and 12%.

Specifically, consider the bicycle economy.

1) In the first quarter, bicycle revenue hit a record low, falling below 300,000 for the first time, only 297,000, and the cost of bicycles directly fell 70,000.

Of course, the reason is also obvious. During the new car replacement period, the old 866 model has exhibition car clearance, national subsidies, and financial discounts, etc.; while the unit price of the new ET5 itself is lower than that of the previous models, the gross profit margin is also low, and the average price decline is normal.

2) Now that NT1.0 is converted to NT2.0, the intermediate capacity utilization rate is very low, which will also drag down the gross profit margin; the cost of a bicycle cannot go down synchronously with the price of a single car, and the gross profit of a bicycle is further reduced by 3,000 yuan compared with the fourth quarter, and the gross profit margin is directly pulled from 6.8% to 5.1%. The standard gross profit margin for car manufacturing should be around 20%, which is too large.

Fortunately, looking ahead, NIO couldn’t be any worse.

The company’s guidance for the second quarter revenue is between 87.4 and 9.37 billion. Dolphin Jun’s estimated bicycle revenue should be about 32.5-33 million, and by the end of the second quarter, basically all NIO models have been transferred to the NT2.0 platform.

In addition, although the overall price of lithium carbonate has reached about 300,000 from the beginning of the 190,000, compared with the previous 500,000, there is still a trend to fall, and the decline in battery costs will also help NIO to ease the cost pressure.

Of course, under the brand tone of NIO’s "no price reduction", the real increase in gross profit margin still depends on whether NIO really reaches the target of 30,000 monthly sales and pulls up the capacity utilization rate. And on this point, Dolphin Jun is still skeptical:

1) In terms of the current trend, the Chinese luxury car market above 30w seems to have a relatively tenacious vitality of fuel vehicles, and the penetration rate is relatively slow. At present, it is less than 20%, which is not as good as the overall pure electric penetration rate.

2) In the absence of insufficient facilities such as fast charging/power exchange, when pure electric luxury cars further go out of first-tier cities such as Shanghai and further penetrate into the lower-tier market, it seems that there is no ideal range extension model that can better target user pain points.

Third, the income pulls the hips, the natural result of poor sales

NIO’s revenue 10.70 billion in the first quarter, growing by only 8% year-on-year, significantly lower than the market consensus expectations 11.60 billion, clearing inventory and other low unit prices are the core issues.

The only thing that came up a little bit this quarter was auto revenue other than auto sales, which hit 1.45 billion this quarter, a lot more than the market expected 11-1.20 billion.

NIO’sOther business revenue sources primarily include revenue from the sale of energy and service packages, as well as revenue generated from embedded products and services that go hand in hand with vehicle sales, such as charging stations, in-vehicle internet connectivity services, and more.

The company has always maintained a high-end strategic positioning, hoping to provide better service and experience to car owners in terms of brand management and user community through better gross margins.

Data source: company earnings, Long Bridge Dolphin Investment Research

Data source: the company’s official website, Long Bridge Dolphin Investment Research

In addition, at the Berlin conference of NIO last October, the overseas models were mainly charged by fixed lease and floating subscription. For example, the rental time provided by the fixed rental fee is generally 1-5 years, and the fixed monthly rent is adopted. For short-term flexible cars, monthly subscriptions can be used. Short-term subscriptions can be cancelled at any time two weeks in advance. Vehicles can be replaced at will, and as the age of the car increases, the monthly fee will be reduced accordingly.

The additional growth in other revenue this quarter is expected to be related to NIO’s overseas sales growth: from January to April, NIO sold more than 150 vehicles in Germany, more than 184 in Norway, and more than 450 worldwide, which should contribute to this part of the revenue.

But the problem here is that, because these markets are in the early stages of development, when they contribute revenue, they basically lose money early on. So the rest of the business saw revenue increase this quarter, but the losses were also severe: less than 1.50 billion revenue in the first quarter, costs were almost 1.80 billion, and the gross loss ratio was 21%.

IV. Gross profit is almost "zero"

If the fourth quarter NIO gross profit was miserable, the first quarter was even more miserable, because other income business directly gross loss, and the car sales business sold cars 9.20 billion, only earned less than 500 million gross profit. The overall group level gross profit is only 160 million, no better.

Invest "a lot of money"

Although after subtracting external costs, only gross profit 100 million, but expenses are not less: R & D expenses 3.10 billion, basically within the normal range between 30 and 3.50 billion of the company’s original quarterly guidance; sales and administrative expenses 2.45 billion, just a little less than the market expected 2.70 billion.

Overall, due to the fact that NIO wants to do too many things and has too many dreams in R & D, the possibility of cost reduction in R & D is very small. So far, I have not seen it openly reflect on cost reduction and efficiency like Xiaopeng.

In the sales system, NIO has always been a "warm user" approach, and sales have not seen very clear signs of control.

Six, NIO has passed the life and death tribulation again

The same painting style as the fourth quarter, but it came more tragically: delivery pulling hips, income pulling hips, gross profit margin pulling hips, cost and investment rigidity, and operating profits are hotWhat is it?

The single-quarter operating loss 5.10 billion; the operating loss rate was 48%, a new high in the past three years.

Summary:

In the eyes of Dolphin Lord, internal reflection and rapid adjustment in the current state of NIO may be more important than boasting and describing the grand blueprint of 5-10 years.

Ministry of Veterans Affairs of the People’s Republic of China

  Navigation software can speed us up, but we can also find wonders in the "slow life"; navigation software can allow us to travel far, but we should not give up our sense of the nearby environment

  Walking on the street, opening the phone to browse the navigation interface to confirm the destination; coming to an unfamiliar place, clicking on the navigation to explore in place, hoping to find the east, west, north and south… Nowadays, navigation software has been integrated into daily life, playing an increasingly prominent role in optimizing traffic operation and saving commuting time.

  Objectively speaking, navigation software is the product of technological progress. For a long time in history, finding the way was a practical need faced by people. To avoid getting lost, the ancients relied on well-made markers, or unfolded simple maps, or asked strangers for directions. The verse "Ask where the restaurant is, and the shepherd boy points to Xinghua Village" vividly depicts the scene of asking for directions. In reality, whether it is marking or asking for directions, it is difficult to match the accuracy, convenience and experience of mobile phone navigation.

  Today, with the help of navigation software, finding the way is no longer a problem. In 2020, our country built the Beidou-3 global satellite navigation system to provide services to the world. In space, the Beidou navigation satellite operates day and night, providing location information services to countless end points. On the ground, whether driving, cycling or walking, people open the mobile phone navigation software and follow the prompts to reach their destination. With the development of the economy and the deepening of urbanization, the popularization of navigation technology helps people reach the place they want to go more quickly and effectively, and also makes mobile China more vibrant.

  However, there are also scientific studies showing that over-reliance on navigation software may cause the brain to reduce its interaction with the surrounding environment. Not only that, but navigation not only provides us with location information, but also affects our route choices at all times, shaping our cognition of space and time. For example, the destination search function allows us to automatically pop up options without looking for a specific location on the map; the route recommendation function, so that we no longer need to choose a route based on experience. In a sense, navigation software does allow us to cross a specific space in the least time, improving the efficiency of space-time conversion, but it may also make us miss the scenery along the way.

  In the fast-paced modern society, the importance of efficiency is self-evident. But while pursuing speed, how to perceive the environment more richly and better understand the relationship between ourselves and the wider world is also a topic of "on the road". In the past, Xie Liang, the old man, volunteered to guide others for 16 years, which made many new visitors to Beijing feel the warmth of the city; now, with a mobile phone in hand, many people do not want or need to ask for directions. Once, the buildings, streets and flowers and trees of the city were deeply embedded in our memory when we knew the way; now, the route that some people remember best is the section from the subway station to the bus station. To a certain extent, focusing only on the connections and numbers in the navigation software can easily make people ignore the natural, historical, and cultural elements in the environment, as well as the fireworks, human touch, and beautiful scenery around them, thus losing the fun of "people on the journey" in a hurry.

  Today, navigation software has become a necessity for many people’s lives. It is worth thinking about how to better integrate technology into our lives. Navigation software can make us faster, but we can also find wonders in the "slow life"; navigation software can allow us to travel far, but we should not give up the feeling of the nearby environment. Keep a heart of discovery, and maybe you will find that the convenience of navigation software and the beauty of the city have always been there.

  "People’s Daily" (April 19, 2022, edition 05)