His net worth has shrunk by 200 billion. How does "Mr. Twitter" Musk tell the Tesla story well?

Author | Wang Yajun  

Cover Source | Douban Entry  

On January 26th, Beijing time, Tesla released the latest financial report: in the fourth quarter of 2022 (hereinafter referred to as Q4), the revenue increased by 37% year-on-year to US$ 24.318 billion, and the net profit increased by 59% year-on-year to US$ 3.687 billion, both hitting record highs and exceeding market expectations.  

During the period, Tesla’s vehicle production and delivery both reached new highs: Q4 produced 439,701 vehicles and delivered 405,278 vehicles, up 44% and 31% respectively.  

On the first trading day after the financial report was released, Tesla closed up nearly 11% and its market value returned to 500 billion US dollars.  

DanielIves, a well-known Tesla bull and Wedbush analyst, believes that Q4 in 2022 will be "one of the most important financial reports in Tesla’s history" because its dominant position in the electric vehicle market is facing new resistance in the past few years.  

Before the financial report was released, Tesla took the lead in the unprecedented price reduction promotion in the domestic market on January 6, and then spread the price war to the United States, Europe and other places. Musk said in the earnings conference call that he saw the strongest order in Tesla’s history in January, and the current number of orders is almost twice the production capacity.  

In 2023, Tesla gave a delivery target of 1.8 million vehicles in the financial report, an increase of 37% compared with 2022, which was lower than the previously set long-term target (an annual increase of 50%). However, Musk is also optimistic that if there is no external interference, 2 million cars may be produced and sold in 2023.  

The price of cars has dropped, but the growth rate of delivery has slowed down.  

In Q4 of 2022, Tesla, the "price butcher", once again showed the cutting edge of price reduction.  

Since October, 2022, Tesla has successively reduced prices in China and North America. Musk’s goal is to sell all the cars produced in Q4 that year and usher in an "epic year-end".  

However, due to the small price reduction, the effect of exchanging price for quantity is not satisfactory. Tesla delivered a total of 405,300 vehicles in Q4, with a year-on-year growth rate slowing from 71% in the same period of last year to 31%, and a year-on-year revenue growth rate of 37%, a record low in the past two years. MarkDelaney, an analyst at Goldman Sachs, believes that Q4′ s delivery data is "an increasing negative factor".  

 In Q4 last year, Tesla’s output exceeded the delivery by 34,423 vehicles, and the annual difference was 55,769 vehicles. In 2022, Tesla delivered a total of 1,313,800 vehicles, which failed to reach the annual target (1,404,100 vehicles), and the throne of the annual new energy vehicle sales crown was also taken away by BYD.  

As the most profitable new energy vehicle company in the world, Tesla’s net profit growth rate slowed down obviously in Q4 last year, even less than Q2, which was affected by epidemic and supply chain.  

The price reduction promotion also lowered the gross profit margin. Tesla Q4′ s gross profit margin was 23.8%, down 3.6 percentage points from the same period of last year and 1.3 percentage points from the previous month, hitting a new low in nearly seven quarters.  

  In the face of the decline in profitability brought about by price cuts, Musk believes that Tesla can get compensation from autonomous driving.  

In a Twitter space discussion at the end of 2022, Musk said that the value of a car that can drive automatically is much higher than that of a non-self-driving car. Even if the profit margin is extremely low when selling a car, it can be upgraded to automatic driving. It can bring a lot of income. "Only Tesla can do this."  

FSD(FullSelf-Drive) brought Tesla $324 million in revenue in Q4. Tesla has released a beta version of FSD to almost all customers in North America, and the number is about 400,000.  

In addition to the slowdown in growth and the decline in gross profit margin, Musk, as the soul of Tesla, was also distracted by Twitter.  

Musk proposed to acquire Twitter in April 2022 and entered the company in October. After the acquisition, Musk reduced his holdings of Tesla shares worth nearly $23 billion. KoGuanLeo, the third largest individual shareholder of Tesla, said that Musk gave up Tesla and Tesla had no CEO.  

The cold winter of Q4, together with Twitter nightmare, has impacted Tesla’s market value and Musk’s net worth. As of the close of the last trading day in 2022, Tesla’s share price fell by more than 50% in the fourth quarter. Affected by this, Musk became the first rich man in history to lose $200 billion.  

  

Weakened first-Mover advantage  

Behind the slowdown in delivery, revenue and net profit growth is Tesla’s insufficient demand challenge in Q4. According to the financial report, Tesla Q4′ s global inventory supply days reached 13 days, up 225% year-on-year, the highest in the whole year.  

Bernstein, an American investment research institute, said that the price reduction of Tesla’s promotion in China and the United States in 2022 means that Tesla may have a demand problem.  

The long gap period of models is one of the important reasons for the decline in Tesla demand. In 2022, the combined delivery of Model3 and ModelY accounted for 94.92% of Tesla’s total annual delivery, but the release time of these two models should be traced back to 2016 and 2019 respectively.  

Merrill Lynch once predicted in a report that by 2025, Tesla’s American electric vehicle market share will drop from the current 70% to 11%, because Tesla did not expand its product portfolio quickly enough, while traditional car manufacturers and new forces making cars are improving their product lineup. Standard & Poor’s Global Mobile also believes that although Tesla is still the best-selling electric vehicle brand in the United States, its competitors are launching more and more affordable models, and Tesla’s dominant position in the electric vehicle market is being weakened.  

During the gap period of Tesla models, the pattern of new energy vehicle market in China has also changed greatly. According to the data of the Association, the market share of BYD’s new energy passenger cars increased from 19.5% in 2021 to 31.7% in 2022. In the same period, Tesla decreased from 10.7% to 7.8%. Wei Xiaoli also broke through the annual delivery of 100,000 vehicles in 2022, and plans to launch more models.  

 

At the same time, Tesla’s technological aura is gradually eclipsing.  

Tesla’s brand power is centered on the exploration and landing of new technologies, especially the combination with FSD. Musk also predicted that "autopilot software will become Tesla’s most important profit point", but FSD has never achieved true full autopilot. According to the calculation of CITIC Securities, from 2019 to 2021, the revenue of FSD accounted for 3.4%, 2.8% and 1.7% respectively.  

Will the price war last?  

At the beginning of 2023, Tesla cut prices sharply on a global scale.  

On January 6th, all the models on sale in Tesla China market were reduced in price, with a drop of 20,000 ~ 48,000 yuan, and the promotion was unprecedented. The following week, Tesla spread the bonfire of price war to Japan, South Korea, North America, Europe and other places.  

Price reduction is a double-edged sword. Daniel, the aforementioned Wade Bush analyst, believes that Tesla’s price reduction may increase the global delivery this year by 12% ~ 15%. Deutsche Bank predicts that Tesla’s gross profit margin will drop by 3 percentage points in 2023 compared with 2022.  

At the earnings conference call, Tesla did not release the expectation of continuing to exchange prices. Musk said that Tesla raised the price slightly because the demand after the price reduction far exceeded the output. On January 24, Tesla raised the price of the ModelY dual-motor all-wheel drive model sold in the United States by $500. Tesla CFOZachKirkhorn also said in the earnings conference call that the gross profit margin of automobiles will be higher than 20% this year.  

Tesla’s price reduction action is bound to cause a rebound of competitors. Haitong Securities believes that Tesla will increase market sales by reducing prices, announcing that the electric vehicle industry will officially enter fierce competition in 2023, and global car companies will face great pressure to compete head-on.  

On January 13, AITO asked the community to announce that the price of some of its models would be lowered by 28,800 ~ 30,000 yuan. On January 17th, Xpeng Motors, which is still at a loss, announced that it would adjust the price of its G3i/P5/P7 models, with an overall decrease of 20,000 ~ 36,000 yuan.  

The day after the official announcement of price reduction, He Xiaopeng, chairman of Xpeng Motors, said at the annual summary meeting, "Either you are brilliant enough with everyone, or you will die with a bang".  

BYD, which did not follow the price cut, launched a million-class luxury car the day before Tesla’s domestic price cut in an attempt to get more cakes in the high-end market.  

In the face of rivals who are chasing after each other step by step, Tesla urgently needs to find new sales growth points.  

FranzvonHolzhausen, chief designer of Tesla, said on January 16th that Cybertruck, a pure electric pickup truck, had finished the design and was ready to put into production. The market generally believes that if Cybertruck can be listed as scheduled, it will become a new growth point for Tesla in the North American market in 2023.  

Cybertruck; Source: Tesla official Weibo  

 Musk said in the earnings conference call that Cyberruck may start production in the summer of 2023, but the real mass production work will begin in 2024, and Cyberruck’s contribution to profits will not be great this year.  

Cheap models are another sales growth point besides Cybertruck. Musk predicts that the cost of the next-generation car platform will be half that of the second-generation platforms (Model3 and ModelY), and its output may be higher than the sum of all the company’s current products.  

Tesla said in Q4 financial report that more details of the next-generation car platform will be released on March 1, 2023, Investor Day. Analysts of venture capital firm LoupVentures believe that Tesla’s affordable model Model2 will not be launched until 2024.  

In addition, Tesla has to consider the impact of the macro environment.  

In a Twitter discussion at the end of 2022, Musk believed that the severity of the economic recession in 2023 was equivalent to that in 2009, which would affect the demand for automobiles and lead to an increase in the consumption cost of automobiles. However, in the earnings conference call, Musk also said that the economic recession will reduce Tesla’s costs, which in turn will bring higher profit margins. However, he stressed that this was only his guess.  

Twitter is also a variable that Tesla will face this year. In December 2022, Musk launched a vote on whether he should step down as CEO of Twitter. 57.5% of users thought he should resign, but Musk still serves as CEO of Twitter.  

In the earnings conference call, Musk "showed off" his Twitter account with 127 million fans, and said that Twitter created demand for Tesla. At present, Musk has renamed his Twitter account "Mr. Twitter".  

Competition in the industry has intensified and the first-Mover advantage has diminished. In 2023, Tesla will still face severe challenges.

Guangdong police destroyed a criminal gang that polluted the environment, involving more than 60 million yuan and illegally disposing of more than 30 thousand tons of dangerous waste engine oil.

Recently, under the command and coordination of the Provincial Public Security Department and with the support of the environmental protection department, Zhuhai police, in conjunction with police in many places, launched a simultaneous network-closing operation, which destroyed the "1.29" criminal gang led by Zhang Mokun in one fell swoop, arrested more than 120 criminal suspects, found 9 oil storage points, and seized 39 vehicles, 62 oil drums, more than 100 boxes of used engine oil and 61 tons of used engine oil substances used for illegal transportation, storage and disposal.

  At the beginning of this year, Zhuhai police found that a man surnamed Zhang organized illegal recycling and resale of waste engine oil in Zhuhai, Zhongshan, Jiangmen and Shenzhen. After investigation, since the end of 2015, Zhang Mokun organized relatives, fellow villagers and others to illegally purchase waste engine oil, and after centralized storage, sedimentation and filtration, they sold it again, illegally disposing of more than 30,000 tons of hazardous waste waste engine oil, involving more than 60 million yuan. There are strict laws and regulations on the recovery and disposal of waste engine oil, and only units with the qualification of hazardous waste management can recover and dispose of it. Zhang Mokun and others do not have the qualification conditions, and their behavior poses a great threat to the public safety and environmental safety of our province. On the 12th, Zhuhai, together with the police in Shenzhen, Shantou, Zhongshan, Jiangmen and other places, launched a simultaneous network-closing operation and successfully destroyed the criminal gang.

Flash share price breaks: the valuation has shrunk dramatically, and the customer unit price has been declining. How can the Red Sea competition break through?

  Shi Zifu, Harbor Business Watch

  In the sub-field of matching in the same city, flash delivery is usually regarded as a leading participant in the industry. However, this market is highly competitive, and only the well-known SF City, JD.COM Hours and Dada Seconds are not small rivals.

  On October 4th, Flash (FLX.US) was successfully listed on NASDAQ, with an issue price of US$ 16.5 /ADS and a total fundraising of US$ 66 million. As of 9: 38 EDT on October 8th, the stock price of Flash dropped to about US$ 15. According to Tianyancha, the domestic operation entity of Flash is Beijing Tongcheng Bing Technology Co., Ltd..

  01

  Achieve profitability in 2023.

  Official website introduced that Flash Delivery is a one-to-one express delivery platform in the same city’s instant delivery industry, providing personal and corporate customers with special express delivery services on demand. The brand of Flash Delivery is FlashEx or Flash Delivery, which means instant delivery.

  According to the data of iResearch, in terms of revenue in 2023, Flash is the largest independent on-demand express service provider in China. In 2023, the market share of Flash in China’s independent on-demand express service is about 33.9%.

  Different from the delivery service provider that adopts the order consolidation mode, Flash initiated and always focused on the special delivery mode of on-demand delivery. For each order, Flash will assign a special Flash-Rider to pick up the order and deliver it to the recipient without merging multiple orders or changing hands on the route.

  As of June 30, 2024, Flash has about 2.7 million registered riders, and its service coverage has been extended to 295 cities in China.

  From 2021-2023 and January-June 2024 (hereinafter referred to as the reporting period), Flash Delivery fulfilled 158.6 million, 213.4 million, 270.7 million and 138.1 million orders respectively; In the current period, the company realized revenue of RMB 3,039.8 million, RMB 4,002.7 million, RMB 4,528.8 million and RMB 2,284.5 million respectively, and realized gross profit of RMB 189 million, RMB 259 million, RMB 395 million and RMB 257 million respectively, with gross profit margins of 6.2%, RMB 6.5%, RMB 8.7% and RMB 11.3 respectively.

  It is not difficult to understand the reason for the increase in revenue, which is related to the increase in the company’s orders in the current period. In terms of net profit, flash delivery generated a net loss of 291 million yuan and 180.4 million yuan in 2021 and 2022 respectively, and realized a net profit of 110 million yuan (US$ 15.205 million) and 124 million yuan (1702.0) in 2023 and January-June 2024 respectively.

  For the realization of profit in 2023, the flash payment is attributed to the increase of other income caused by the increase of government subsidies. In 2023, other income from flash delivery was 74.3 million yuan (US$ 10.2 million), compared with 9.2 million yuan in the same period in 2022.

  In the revenue composition of Flash-Riders, the salary and incentive paid to Flash-Riders are the biggest components of the company’s revenue cost. During the reporting period, it was 2.751 billion yuan, 3.614 billion yuan, 3.975 billion yuan and 1.951 billion yuan respectively, accounting for 90.5%, 90.3%, 87.8% and 85.4% of the total income of the current period respectively.

  In addition, the attention of the outside world is high. During the reporting period, the average income of a single order delivered by flash was 19.2 yuan, 18.8 yuan, 16.7 yuan and 16.5 yuan respectively, showing an obvious downward trend. Although the order volume is rising, the continuous decline of single income is still likely to affect the overall operating performance of the company.

  02

  Downgrading various fees, more than 8,000 complaints.

  The operating expenses of flash delivery include sales and marketing expenses, general and management expenses and research and development expenses. In the total cost, sales and marketing expenses account for the vast majority.

  According to the prospectus, the sales and marketing expenses of flash delivery mainly include: advertising and marketing expenses, staff costs related to sales and marketing functions, rent and depreciation, and advertising expenses mainly include endorsement fees and advertising fees. During the reporting period, the sales and marketing expenses of flash delivery were 272 million yuan, 240 million yuan, 188 million yuan and 89.738 million yuan respectively, accounting for 8.9%, 6.0%, 4.2% and 3.9% of the corresponding income respectively.

  General and administrative expenses of flash delivery mainly include: salaries and related costs of employees engaged in general company functions, professional fees and other general company expenses, as well as expenses related to the use of facilities and equipment. During the reporting period, the company’s general and administrative expenses were 113 million yuan, 103 million yuan, 105 million yuan and 45.505 million yuan respectively, accounting for 3.7%, 2.6%, 2.3% and 2.0% of the corresponding income respectively.

  In addition, R&D expenses mainly include: staff costs, rent and depreciation related to R&D functions, and other expenses related to R&D functions. During the reporting period, the R&D expenses of Flash were 105 million yuan, 119 million yuan, 90.847 million yuan and 41.306 million yuan, respectively, accounting for 3.4%, 3.0%, 2.0% and 1.8% of the revenue in the corresponding period.

  In the first half of 2024, Flash reduced the sales and marketing expenses, general and administrative expenses, and research and development expenses, by 8.56%, 13.17% and 18.6% respectively compared with the previous year. Some market participants told Harbor Business Watch that it is not ruled out that this year is facing fierce market competition and the consumption environment is weak. In order to improve profitability and IPO, Flash delivery has carried out all-round cost control.

  Flash accounts payable mainly refer to the remuneration payable to Flash-Riders. By the end of 2022, 2023 and the end of the first half of 2024, the accounts payable for flash were 356.1 million yuan, 339.8 million yuan and 314.6 million yuan respectively. In the same period, the company’s cash and cash equivalents were 622 million yuan, 699 million yuan and 712 million yuan respectively.

  In 2021 and 2022, the net cash used in flash business activities was 194.9 million yuan and 86.8 million yuan respectively, and in 2023, the net cash provided by flash business activities was 45.7 million yuan.

  In the first half of 2024, the net cash provided by Flash business activities was 20.7 million yuan (US$ 2.8 million). Flash mentioned that the company’s main source of liquidity was equity financing income. In March, April and May, 2021, the company obtained 747.8 million RMB from D2 financing. As of June 30, 2024, Flash had cash and cash equivalents of 711.7 million yuan (US$ 97.9 million).

  Flash delivery mentioned in the prospectus that the company does not employ any lightning riders, and provides special express service for individual and corporate customers by relying on Flash-Riders. The company usually regards such lightning riders as independent contractors.

  In this context, there are also many consumer complaints about flash delivery. As of October 8, the keyword "flash delivery" was searched on the black cat complaint platform, with a total of 8,128 complaints, and 5,744 complaints have been completed. In the last 30 days, there were 213 complaints, with an average of 7.1 complaints per day. Consumer complaints focus on time delay, overlord clauses, arbitrary deduction of service fees, unreasonable punishment of riders, and unauthorized cancellation of orders.

  03

  Valuation has shrunk dramatically, how to break through the competition in the Red Sea?

  Tianyancha shows that at the beginning of its establishment in March 2014, Flash received millions of RMB angel round financing from Jingwei Venture Capital; In June of the same year, the company also received millions of dollars in Series A financing from Jingwei Venture Capital and CDH Investment. In July and August, 2015, Flash completed $50 million in Series B financing and Series B+ financing respectively, with investors including Jiuding Investment, Light Source Growth Fund and Tiantu Investment.

  In February and June of 2017, Flash completed the C and C+ rounds of financing respectively, and the transaction amount of both rounds was USD 50 million. In August, 2017, August, 2018 and March, 2021, Flash completed the D, D+ and D++ rounds of financing respectively, among which the investors in the D+ round of financing included Haisong Capital, Wuyue Capital, Yuanxing Capital, Haina Asia Venture Capital, Shunwei Capital, Changbai Xing Capital, Shunliang Investment, Hearst Capital and Light Source Venture Capital, with a transaction amount of 60 million.

  The investors in the flash D++ financing include Shunzhi Capital, Wuyue Capital, Haina Asia Venture Capital Fund, Tiantu Investment, Haisong Capital, AlphaSquare Group, Qiyuan Investment Axiom Asia Private Capital, Qian Shan Capital and Zhongcai Capital, and the transaction amount reached 125 million US dollars.

  However, in the instant delivery market, flash delivery faces a lot of market competition.

  In the field of traditional logistics and distribution, SF Express’s SF Express delivery, running errands, and helping to buy services, with an average of one hour in the whole city; JD.COM’s instant retail business is aimed at consumers’ JD.COM Hours, and in May 2024, JD.COM Hours and other brands were upgraded to "JD.COM Seconds Delivery"; Dada Group’s Dada seconds to send help, help to send, run errands, 1 hour; Hungry? Hummingbird, its real-time logistics platform, also provides consumers with comprehensive life services such as home catering service, supermarket service, help buy and help deliver.

  In addition, after the completion of the D++ round of financing in March 2021, the valuation of flash delivery reached 2 billion US dollars (equivalent to about 14 billion yuan). According to the Hurun Global Unicorn List in 2024, the flash valuation is about 7 billion yuan, down about 40% from 2021. Up to now, the flash market value is about $1.078 billion.

  According to the Research Report on Instant Distribution Industry in China released by iResearch, the scale of the instant distribution industry will be about 341 billion yuan in 2023, and it is estimated that the scale of the industry will exceed 810 billion yuan in 2028.

  Mo Daiqing, director and senior analyst of the online retail department of the E-commerce Research Center of NetEconomy & Society, pointed out that the competition in the instant delivery market is becoming more and more fierce. For example, Dada Group and SF Express have been successfully listed in the same city, and the rookie also announced to upgrade its express delivery service in the same city and launched the "half-day service". Backed by giants such as JD.COM, SF Express and Ali, they have strong financial support and business resources. In addition, there are some new "showstopper". For example, last year, the cargo Lala announced the online errands business; Didi also launched Didi errands service; Gaode Map announced that it has cooperated with a number of instant delivery companies to provide errands through its platform; Tik Tok, Aauto Quicker, Oriental Selection, etc. are also accelerating the trial of instant retail.

  Although it has been successfully listed, on the one hand, its profitability is under great pressure, and on the other hand, how to successfully break through in the Red Sea industry has also been tested.

Extreme Yue Automobile’s brand-new medium and large pure electric car 07 interior official map exposure

On August 10th, Jiyue Automobile officially announced the official interior map of the brand’s brand-new medium and large pure electric car. It is reported that this car adopts the design concept of "AI Aesthetics", showing the charm of pure China original design.

In the interior, Extreme Yue 07 continues the design of family style, with minimalism as the leading factor. Among them, the design of the half-width steering wheel is eye-catching, and its development cost is as high as 20 million yuan. Officials said that this design not only provides a good grip, but also ensures that it does not block the driver’s line of sight. In addition, the button design in the car is also extremely simple.

The interior adopts embracing design, and the center console is equipped with a whole penetrating suspension screen with a size of 35.6 inches and a resolution of 6K, and colorful atmosphere lights are incorporated to create a sense of technology and advanced. There is also a wireless charging panel at the lower part of the center console to provide convenience for passengers. The new car also features an integrated seat design and a small screen in the center of the rear row.

In appearance, the car body size of Extreme Yue 07 is 4953mm long, 1989mm wide and 1475mm high, with a wheelbase of 3013mm, and it is positioned in medium and large cars. Its short front and rear suspension and long wheelbase design make the body look full and dynamic. There is also an electric spoiler at the tail, which automatically rises when the speed exceeds 95km/h, further enhancing the value of the whole vehicle.

According to the declaration information, the Extreme Yue 07 dual-motor version can output a maximum power of 400 kW, and is equipped with a maximum speed of 200 km/h.. It is expected that the new car will be listed this year, and the price is expected to be in the range of 200,000-300,000 yuan. It is worth mentioning that Extreme Yue 07 will also adopt pure visual high-order intelligent driving technology, which is provided by Baidu.

Edible oil market: soybean oil is dominant, and consumption is gradually upgrading.

CITICS

Edible oil can be divided into vegetable oil and animal oil according to the category. Edible vegetable oil is the main domestic consumption, and the consumption of animal oil is decreasing year by year. According to the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, the proportion of edible vegetable oil in the per capita edible oil consumption of rural households in China has increased from 56% in 1980 to 90% in 2018. Edible vegetable oil is mainly produced from upstream soybeans, rapeseed,

Planting oil seeds such as peanuts and sunflower seeds, squeezing, refining and packaging to obtain packaged edible oil products; In addition, the by-product oil meal can be used as an important feed raw material, while the primary processed products such as crude oil can be used to manufacture daily chemical products, high-quality basic chemicals, nutritional products, etc., which are widely used in food, chemical industry, medicine and other industries.

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In recent years, the consumption of edible vegetable oil has increased steadily.

With the increase of per capita edible oil consumption and the substitution of edible vegetable oil for edible animal oil, the consumption of edible vegetable oil in China has continued to increase, and the growth rate of industry consumption has gradually slowed down after 2005, stabilizing at single-digit growth.

According to the statistics of National Cereals and Oils Information Center, in 2017/18 (from October 2017 to September 2018, the same below), the consumption of edible vegetable oil in China reached 34.4 million tons, and the CAGR reached 4.5% in the past five years. Among them, the production of edible vegetable oil reached 29.63 million tons, and the CAGR reached 4.5% in the past five years. Some edible vegetable oils were supplemented by imports.

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Soybean oil-rapeseed oil is dominant, and oilseed soybeans are mainly imported.

In terms of scaleAccording to USDA data, the consumption of soybean oil and rapeseed oil in China in 2018/19 reached 15.89 million tons and 8.39 million tons respectively. The consumption of peanut oil, sunflower oil and corn oil ranks second. According to USDA data, the consumption of peanut oil and sunflower oil in China in 2018/19 was 3.09 million tons and 1.5 million tons respectively.

From the perspective of growth rateIn recent years, sunflower oil and olive oil have increased rapidly, with CAGR reaching 10.1% and 6.7% respectively in the past five years.

From the perspective of supplySoybean oil, rapeseed oil and peanut oil are mainly made in China, while sunflower oil and olive oil are mainly imported, accounting for 69% and 93% of consumption; From the perspective of oil materials (raw materials for oil extraction), soybeans are mainly imported, and imports in 2018/19 accounted for 97% of the crush.

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Packaging edible oil: soybean oil dominates the market, and consumption is gradually escalating.

According to the packaging methods, edible vegetable oil can be divided into bulk oil, medium packaging edible oil and small packaging edible oil.

In recent years, with the continuous promulgation of national laws and regulations on restricting the sale of bulk oil, the improvement of residents’ living standards and consumers’ increasing awareness of food safety, the consumption of bulk oil has gradually decreased, and the consumption of small and medium-sized packaged edible oil has gradually increased, occupying the main position in the edible oil market.

According to Euromonitor statistics, the consumption of packaged edible oil in China reached 14.67 million tons in 2019 (excluding industry), and the CAGR was 4.8% in 2014-2019. It is expected that the industry will continue to grow steadily in the future, and the expected sales volume CAGR in 2019-2024 is 3.7%.

Looking at retail channels alone, the sales volume, sales volume and retail price of packaged edible oil in 2019 were 103.1 billion yuan, 8.39 million tons and 12,292 yuan/ton respectively, corresponding to CAGR of 2.2%, 3.8% and -1.5% in 2014-2019 respectively.

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Soybean oil dominated, and the proportion of high-priced edible oil increased.

In terms of categories, soybean oil is still dominant in packaged edible oil.

According to Euromonitor statistics, in 2019, China’s soybean oil sales accounted for 44%, and rapeseed oil, peanut oil and sunflower oil accounted for 10%, 9% and 7% respectively.

From the retail price, olive oil is much higher than other categories, reaching 97,000 yuan/ton in 2019; Peanut oil and sunflower oil are relatively higher than the average level, with 14,300 yuan and 13,600 yuan/ton respectively in 2019; Soybean oil and rapeseed oil are the most common edible oils, and the price per ton is relatively low. In 2019, they were 11,200 yuan and 10,100 yuan/ton respectively.

With the improvement of people’s consumption level, the sales growth rate of relatively high-priced edible oil is ahead. From 2014 to 2019, the sales of olive oil, peanut oil and sunflower oil reached 9.9%, 5.9% and 8.3% respectively, which was higher than the industry average.

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Modern channels are dominant, especially high-priced oil.

Small-package edible vegetable oil has both the attributes of hoarding goods and giving gifts, so modern channels such as supermarkets and supermarkets are the main sales channels.

According to Nielsen statistics (quoted from the company’s prospectus), in 2019, the sales volume of small package edible vegetable oil in supermarkets and supermarkets accounted for 32.4% and 30.9% respectively.

Especially for sunflower seed oil, rice oil, peanut oil, olive oil, etc., the total proportion of hypermarkets and supermarkets is over 70%.

Judging from the trend in the past three years, the proportion of overall hypermarkets has declined, the proportion of supermarkets has increased, and other channels have changed relatively little.

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In the future, the industry will grow steadily and the upgrading trend will continue.

In the future, the domestic packaged edible oil industry is expected to maintain a steady growth trend. According to Euromonitor’s forecast, the domestic packaged edible oil sales CAGR will reach 3.7% from 2019 to 2024.

With the increase of people’s income level and the demand for health and quality, the demand for high-end edible oils (such as sunflower oil and olive oil) with more balanced and rich nutrients will continue to increase in the future.

According to Euromonitor’s forecast, from 2019 to 2024, the traditional sales of soybean oil and rapeseed oil will be only 1.5% and 2.7%, while the consumption of sunflower oil and olive oil will reach 4.1% and 5.4% respectively, and the proportion of high-end edible oil sales is expected to continue to increase.

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Source: CITIC Securities, "The leading grain and oil company is Hengqiang, and its listing efforts have reached a new high"

Don’t brag, Esther Yu is not "stupid and sweet" at all.

This summer, costume dramas are broadcast together.

"Splendid Stars" and "Aquilaria Resinatum as Chips" often occupy a half-screen hot search, which can be called a fairy fight.

However, the sudden popularity of "Freesia" has caused a lot of heat.

Dylan, the "Oriental Blue Sky", is gaining millions of people a day, and the studio is recruiting people from morning till night.

Now I am at the airport, surrounded by people, and the treatment is comparable to the top flow.

As the number one female, Esther Yu also won a lot.

The little orchid she plays is a warm and virtuous goddess.

After the role became popular, Esther Yu’s popularity on the road increased.

There are more and more comments on her "simplicity" and "stupidity".

However, Esther Yu, who wears several hats, can rise against the current situation that the film and television winter and The9 concert have been postponed again and again, and ascend to the throne of the heroine of the explosive drama.

It’s not just about"silly white sweet"So simple.

Esther Yu’s controversy has never stopped.

The two labels that have been stuck on her for the longest time and the most firmly are "a rich girl" and "a refined woman".

She didn’t shy away from being a rich girl.

When she first debuted, she made a high-profile big-name bag full of beds, and together she could buy a suite.

Before taking part in "Young You 2", she had a group of "Hepburn Wind" blockbusters.

In my hand, it is a crystal chain bag of Chanel collector series.

The value of this bag220 thousandAnd it is a global limited edition, and you can’t buy it if you have money.

Carrying it on your back is about the same as putting it"I have money and strength."Write it on your face

At the same time, big-name items often appear in Esther Yu’s photos.

Many stars dare not wear a high-definition princess dress on the red carpet. She dances in it.

Other stars bring their own makeup artists when filming, and she brings her own.109 sets of private servers.

I also matched it myself and made a set of pictures.

It saved a lot of money for the crew and was evaluated as "bringing money into the group" in disguise.

Matching the "rich girl" is Esther Yu’s."Zuo".

In "Grade One", she worried about Chen Jianbin and Loura.

Sometimes pretending to be sick.

Sometimes be childish.

Sometimes you disobey the rules.

At that time, Esther Yu’s performance made many people shout "I can’t stand it".

The same is true of "Youth 2".

In the first program, Esther Yu made his appearance into a play.

Others come in honestly and sit down.

She leaned out a head at the door and showed a surprised expression.

Then slowly close the door, walk out with small steps, and say "very nervous" in a voice.

The tutor present was shocked to be speechless, and KUN directly asked her:

Did you act in a sitcom?

In "Young You 2", Esther Yu’s "Wow" famous scene is out of the circle.

Let her be selected by the traffic and become the fastest "Green You 2" player on the hot search.

The rich girl and the expert "person" are just seemingly "fit together" in Esther Yu.

In many people’s presupposition, Esther Yu is a rich second generation princess.

She brings her own resources and is not bullied.

As long as you sell cute and coquetry, you can get opportunities that others can’t dream of.

But the fact is that Esther Yu is an "atypical rich girl" who can only have a princess’s life, but not a princess’s disease.

Parents are very strict with Esther Yu.

When studying in Singapore, other students rented the most ordinary house for 5,000 yuan, while Esther Yu was only allowed to live in a dormitory for 2,000 yuan.

Roommates come from different countries and have completely different living habits.

She is in the dormitory, picking up her hair and cleaning the toilet. No one treats her like a little princess.

After returning to China, Esther Yu wanted to enter the entertainment industry and asked her parents for help, but they refused to give her any help.

Even the free tickets for "Youth 2" were given to Qinyuan Fei by Esther Yu’s mother.

Esther Yu can only proudly say: I am short of my mother’s two votes?

Parents’ education helped Esther Yu develop a hard-working and tenacious character.

According to the words of Loura:Esther Yu is the kind of person who looks like he doesn’t work hard and laughs, but he has already prepared himself carefully.

She is very serious.

Because she felt that the price difference between holidays and peacetime in the hotel was unreasonable, she insisted on asking the hotel for 9000 yuan back.

There was no hot water for bathing in Mesu Island, and there was no chicken in the chicken fried noodles. She wrote a 1000-word complaint email, and as a result, she was exempted from the room charge.

She is also optimistic.

When she first started filming, Esther Yu thought she could play the No.2 girl, but she only got the role of No.18 maid.

But she was so happy that she thought it was a good opportunity and carefully prepared for a long time.

Later, Esther Yu also continued to play some "no such person" background board roles.

But she always hinted to herself in front of the camera that "I am the number one woman."

In the stage play Legend of the Sword and the Chivalrous Man, Esther Yu plays the servant girl Yinhua, who is too small to see her face on the poster.

But she didn’t slack off at all, even if the spotlight shone on others, she tried her best to play her role.

Later, more than one audience who saw the play said:Yinhua is the most brilliant role in this stage play.

Esther Yu before so understand their "work":

As for me, I am myself, capable of ups and downs and happy. We hit a wall here, so let’s show it somewhere else.

Since she was a "social cow", she has mixed the entertainment circle into "Du Lala’s promotion".

When there was no filming, Esther Yu searched for information everywhere, and added the director’s WeChat to introduce himself.

She seized every opportunity to promote herself, and if the audition failed, she would continue to pull the director to watch her own xiaokaxiu.

I will also write an 8000-word biography for a character who doesn’t have many shots, begging the director to read it.

She knew in her heart that the director would only feel that there was something wrong with such a "spell" little actor.

But she is confident and full of expectations for every opportunity, big and small.

I told my parents countless times that I was going to be angry, and I was disappointed countless times.

Fortunately, her heart is stronger.

She said: I seem to be a person with a poor memory. I will soon forget the past and fall into a new round of expectations.

Brainwash yourself every day, Esther Yu. You must be able to stand the wait and get through the time.

After becoming popular, Esther Yu still "publicizes himself with his life".

Journalists who interviewed Esther Yu rated her as "automatic interview".

Before the reporter asked questions, she began to ask herself and answer questions, and talked about her feelings endlessly.

Take pictures on the red carpet, and then the other female stars will leave.

Esther Yu had to beg reporters to "take a good shot" before taking pictures.

She said: "Today is the first time I have worn clothes that show off my arms this year. Dear journalists, if you have any breasts, please help me fix them."

This time, Esther Yu filmed "Freesia Tactics", which was also the opportunity for her to play the original sound.

At first, the crew was dissatisfied with Esther Yu’s voice and disagreed with her using the original sound.

Esther Yu wanted to fight for another hand, stopped working for a month and a half, and found a teacher to learn dubbing.

During this period, other actors joined the group to film in succession, and only Esther Yu was never heard from, and was called "not enterprising".

It was not until the new play was broadcast that everyone knew the real situation.

Esther Yu’s personality is indeed similar to that of the little orchid in Freesia.

First, she is smart, thoughtful and bold.

If you want to act, you have to overcome difficulties and act.

If you want to join the women’s group, you will learn to dance in the crew overnight, regardless of opposition to be a player in "Youth 2".

She can make these decisions not only because she is confident enough, but also because she is smart enough.

She knows what she is suitable for and when to make a decisive attack and change the track.

Therefore, she can always take the right step at the right time.

Second, she has a strong heart and dares to fight and rush.

Although Esther Yu is a rich second generation and a little princess, she is not melodramatic.

There’s no chance to shoot, so you can have the cheek and lower your posture to fight for opportunities.

At the critical moment, I can always bite my teeth and force myself.

Therefore, she has developed a character of "confident but not conceited, brave and not reckless".

This kind of personality, in any field, even if it is not good, it will not be too bad.

Third, she cherishes feathers.

After becoming famous from "Young You 2", Esther Yu has more resources.

But instead of being led by the traffic, she took pictures carefully and slowly.

The support of the work is the biggest reason for her to keep the flow.

From Variations on Moonlight to Freesia, Esther Yu has been quietly absorbing nutrients behind his works.

No matter how "innocent and lovely" Esther Yu’s personality is, we have to admit that she is not really "silly and sweet".

In other words, people who can reach this position in the entertainment circle will not be "stupid and sweet".

Because it is luck to be selected by the flow, but it is ability to stay in the flow pool without being screened out.

The possibility of Esther Yu being "screened out" is getting smaller and smaller.

She is irreplaceable to a certain extent.

People magazine commented on Esther Yu before, saying that she is like aFresh, newborn and naked little monsters have plunged into the pool of entertainment circles.

She is a very special existence.

There are many princesses in the entertainment circle. When they suffer, they will cry and make people love.

There are also many "vicious people" in the entertainment circle, and their personalities are straightforward, and their speeches are surprising.

But Esther Yu is different.

Esther Yu is a princess, yes, but she doesn’t live in a fairy tale.

She is more like a princess who can defeat her stepmother, avoid giants and subdue little monsters by herself.

You don’t need a prince to save you, and a small universe will naturally break out at the critical moment.

Her body not only retains the undisguised, open and generous femininity, but also is "malicious" and smart enough, and she is not afraid of hitting the wall again and again.

I saw a screenshot of the comment area on Weibo, which made me feel "this is Esther Yu".

It was in 2016, and she just debuted, because her performance in "Grade One" was criticized by the whole network.

But she just found a positive comment from a lot of comments that scolded her, and then said:Thank you.

Since Esther Yu’s debut, the controversy that has stayed on her is nothing more than "whether she is lovable" and "whether her personality is true".

But maybe, Esther Yu didn’t pay much attention to these comments.

She doesn’t want to deliberately "please" others.

Usually, she will stand up and express herself freely and tell everyone."Look, how good I am.".

But behind this expression, there is another meaning:

You think I’m bad, but it doesn’t matter.

As long as I feel good, that’s enough.

Thank you for reading it. Let’s light it up. Forward > and < Like > I wish we can all enjoy ourselves without deliberately pleasing others.

Editor in charge:

China Heavy Duty Truck VGV is on fire again, automatic (AT) gearbox.

It is no exaggeration to say that space and comfort are important indicators for consumers to choose a car at present, because most people’s demands are to take a family trip. It’s a medium-sized suv. I wonder how much you know about it. The strength of the car still needs to be understood before we know, so let’s take a look.

Let’s take a look at the appearance of the VGV U75 PLUS. The front face of the VGV U75 PLUS is more atmospheric and looks more stable. Coupled with the fashionable and dynamic headlights, the exquisiteness of the whole vehicle has been greatly improved. The car is equipped with LED daytime running lights, automatic opening and closing, delayed closing and so on. Coming to the side of the car body, the size of the car body is 4825MM*1870MM*1691MM. The car adopts steady lines, and the car body feels very simple. With large-sized thick-walled tires, the shape is eye-catching. Looking back, the rear of the car looks more rounded, and the taillights give people a very concise feeling. Together with the unique exhaust pipe, it creates a good atmosphere.

Sitting in the car, the interior modeling took a simple route, and the whole looked very solid. The steering wheel design of the car is very sharp, made of leather, and feels good. From the central control point of view, the car is equipped with a delicate touch-sensitive LCD central control screen, which makes the interior style impressive and very consistent with the temperament of the car. Let’s take a look at the dashboard and seats again. The dashboard design is remarkable and eye-catching. The car adopts imitation leather seats, and the seats are wrapped in place, which further improves the comfort of drivers and passengers.

VGV U75 PLUS is matched with automatic (AT) gearbox, with maximum power of 165KW and maximum torque of 385N.m, and its power performance is good.

VGV U75 PLUS trunk space is quite satisfactory, but it supports the rear seats to be laid down, which greatly improves the expansion of the space and meets the daily travel needs. In addition, the car is equipped with anti-lock braking system (ABS), LED daytime running lights, brake assist (EBA/BAS, etc.), braking force distribution (EBD), traction control (ASR/TCS, etc.), main driver airbag and co-pilot airbag.

The car introduced today is remarkable in terms of space, configuration and power, and home travel is also a good helper. If you are concerned, you might as well experience it.

CCTV exposed more than 20% of automobile glass water unqualified.

CCTV News:The State Administration of Market Supervision recently released the results of supervision and spot check of automobile windshield cleaning liquid. The reporter learned that the sampling samples mainly came from the circulation field, involving 126 batches of automotive windshield cleaning liquid products produced by 113 enterprises in 17 provinces and cities. The test found that there were more than 20% unqualified products in the glass water for vehicles on the market.

Business Company: On November 12th, the price of soda ash in Central China ran smoothly.

  Business news on November 12

  On November 12, the price of soda ash in Central China remained stable, and the mainstream market price of light soda ash was about 1370-1600 yuan/ton. On October 25, the price was raised by 20 yuan/ton. The mainstream market price of heavy soda ash is about 1,500-1,600 yuan/ton, and the price is lowered by 50 yuan/ton on October 21st. The utilization rate of soda ash production capacity is high, the market supply is sufficient, enterprises actively ship, the downstream demand is poor, the purchase of soda ash is limited, and the soda ash market in Central China is mainly on the sidelines in the short term.

Big die-casting super millet, Chery Fengyun’s first SUV mixed with T9, another global explosion!

Recently, all kinds of information about Chery are quite active. One week, iCAR brand night and Star Road Star Age Night were held continuously. In addition, Yin Tongyue personally stood on the platform, gave a live test run, and so on. We can find one thing in common, that is, these activities are all related to new energy.

Intensive new car release/listing also directly shows that Chery really wants to be rude to new energy. On the just-held night of Chery Fengyun, the science and engineering man was still obsessed with the brand of technology. Li Xueyong said: Chery’s 16000T super die-casting island will be adopted at the end of the year.

It is better than the 9100T large die casting machine announced by Xiaomi not long ago. Of course, apart from technology, everyone is more interested in new cars. The T9, the first SUV of Chery Fengyun, has been pre-sold, and the price range is 159,900-199,900 yuan. Let’s see what are the highlights of the new car.

In terms of appearance, friends who know Chery may be familiar with it. The overall outline of the new car is basically the same, but new energy elements are added to the details, such as: the front face is changed to a closed design, and the interior is decorated with vertical bars, which seems to have some musical rhythm effects; LOGO adopts a luminous design; The shape of the taillight group should also be more scientific and sporty.

What is more interesting is the vehicle positioning. Fengyun T9 has a length, width and height of 4795*1930*1738mm and a wheelbase of 2770mm, which basically meets the standard of medium-sized SUV, but its internal positioning is compact SUV. For reference, the Song DM-i has a length, width and height of 4775*1890*1670mm and a wheelbase of 2765mm, and its large body size may be a big selling point of Fengyun T9 in the future, and the new car also offers 7-seat models to choose from.

The interior part is more pleasantly surprised than the exterior. Fengyun T9 adopts a brand-new central control design, which belongs to the simple style that is popular in new energy vehicles nowadays. It combines the functions of LCD instrument, suspended large screen, electronic lever, wireless charging and so on, and with the color matching of deep top and light bottom, it creates a good fresh style of technology.

In terms of specific configuration, Fengyun T9 has arranged inductive tailgate, remote control, Qualcomm Snapdragon 8155 chip, 540-degree panoramic image, front seat ventilation/heating/massage and queen’s co-driver, and has L2+ intelligent driving assistance capability. Rich configuration is also the strength of domestic brands of head.

The power part is the focus of Fengyun T9. The new car is equipped with Kunpeng Super C-DM plug-in technology, consisting of a 1.5T engine and an electric motor, matched with a 3-speed DHT hybrid special gearbox, with 360 horsepower and a peak torque of 530 Nm. Under CLTC working conditions, it has a pure battery life of 120km, a full battery life of 1400km, and a fuel consumption of 5.2L/100km, with a book value.

Summary: In terms of sales distribution, Chery has the highest overseas sales of its own brand, accounting for nearly 22%, indicating that the sales channels should be broader. We have also analyzed before that at present, Chery’s sales volume is still dominated by traditional fuel. If new energy vehicles can be recognized, there is still a chance to by going up one flight of stairs.

Judging from the current pace of new car launch, Chery’s new energy strategy is full of firepower this year, and four brands, Chery Fengyun, Jietu Shanhai, Xingtu Xingyu and iCAR, are making efforts one after another. For Fengyun T9, larger body size and solid power technology should be the core highlights. In addition, the new car has also been ordered by 9.9 yuan, which can enjoy a crowdfunding activity with a price reduction of 20,000 yuan. After the official listing in the future, the price may be even more surprising.